OpenAI’s widely dispersed IPO raise probabilities stem primarily from the company’s confidential S-1 filing and lack of a finalized offering size amid its $852 billion private valuation and $1 trillion-plus target. Recent $122 billion and $7 billion secondary rounds underscore strong investor demand for the AI leader’s rapid revenue growth, yet ongoing losses and the shift from nonprofit structure introduce execution risks. Market-implied odds favor smaller raises below $30 billion or outsized ones above $100 billion because the final primary issuance will hinge on equity market conditions, secondary share sales, and comparable megacap tech debuts when OpenAI potentially lists in late 2026 or 2027.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHow much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
<$30B 33.2%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$80B–$90B 18.9%
$100B+ 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 31, 2027
<$30B
33%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
23%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
6%
$80B–$90B
19%
$90B–$100B
5%
$100B+
27%
<$30B 33.2%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$80B–$90B 18.9%
$100B+ 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 31, 2027
<$30B
$476 Wol.
33%
$30B–$40B
$463 Wol.
4%
$40B–$50B
$1,621 Wol.
23%
$50B–$60B
$825 Wol.
6%
$60B–$70B
$496 Wol.
8%
$70B–$80B
$489 Wol.
6%
$80B–$90B
$448 Wol.
19%
$90B–$100B
$306 Wol.
5%
$100B+
$637 Wol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s widely dispersed IPO raise probabilities stem primarily from the company’s confidential S-1 filing and lack of a finalized offering size amid its $852 billion private valuation and $1 trillion-plus target. Recent $122 billion and $7 billion secondary rounds underscore strong investor demand for the AI leader’s rapid revenue growth, yet ongoing losses and the shift from nonprofit structure introduce execution risks. Market-implied odds favor smaller raises below $30 billion or outsized ones above $100 billion because the final primary issuance will hinge on equity market conditions, secondary share sales, and comparable megacap tech debuts when OpenAI potentially lists in late 2026 or 2027.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Wolumen
$5,761Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s widely dispersed IPO raise probabilities stem primarily from the company’s confidential S-1 filing and lack of a finalized offering size amid its $852 billion private valuation and $1 trillion-plus target. Recent $122 billion and $7 billion secondary rounds underscore strong investor demand for the AI leader’s rapid revenue growth, yet ongoing losses and the shift from nonprofit structure introduce execution risks. Market-implied odds favor smaller raises below $30 billion or outsized ones above $100 billion because the final primary issuance will hinge on equity market conditions, secondary share sales, and comparable megacap tech debuts when OpenAI potentially lists in late 2026 or 2027.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$5,761Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s widely dispersed IPO raise probabilities stem primarily from the company’s confidential S-1 filing and lack of a finalized offering size amid its $852 billion private valuation and $1 trillion-plus target. Recent $122 billion and $7 billion secondary rounds underscore strong investor demand for the AI leader’s rapid revenue growth, yet ongoing losses and the shift from nonprofit structure introduce execution risks. Market-implied odds favor smaller raises below $30 billion or outsized ones above $100 billion because the final primary issuance will hinge on equity market conditions, secondary share sales, and comparable megacap tech debuts when OpenAI potentially lists in late 2026 or 2027.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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