OpenAI’s path to an IPO hinges on achieving at least a $1 trillion closing market cap, a threshold CEO Sam Altman has called a nonstarter to accept below. The company’s most recent private valuation stands at $852 billion following its March 2026 funding round and an August 2026 employee tender offer, with secondary trading recently implying values near $894 billion. Confidential S-1 filing occurred in June 2026, yet internal signals point to a 2027 debut to allow revenue—already exceeding a $40 billion annualized run rate—to support the higher multiple amid heavy losses and volatile AI-sector multiples. Key near-term factors include any public S-1 release, further tender pricing, and broader equity-market conditions that could influence investor appetite for the implied revenue multiple required above $1 trillion.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$1,521,640 Wol.
$1,521,640 Wol.
Dec 30, 2027
800 mld USD
83%
1 bilion dolarów
76%
1,2 bln $
64%
1,4 bln $
63%
1,6 bln USD
41%
$1,521,640 Wol.
$1,521,640 Wol.
Dec 30, 2027
800 mld USD
$107,765 Wol.
83%
1 bilion dolarów
$1,046,743 Wol.
76%
1,2 bln $
$248,726 Wol.
64%
1,4 bln $
$68,772 Wol.
63%
1,6 bln USD
$49,634 Wol.
41%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s path to an IPO hinges on achieving at least a $1 trillion closing market cap, a threshold CEO Sam Altman has called a nonstarter to accept below. The company’s most recent private valuation stands at $852 billion following its March 2026 funding round and an August 2026 employee tender offer, with secondary trading recently implying values near $894 billion. Confidential S-1 filing occurred in June 2026, yet internal signals point to a 2027 debut to allow revenue—already exceeding a $40 billion annualized run rate—to support the higher multiple amid heavy losses and volatile AI-sector multiples. Key near-term factors include any public S-1 release, further tender pricing, and broader equity-market conditions that could influence investor appetite for the implied revenue multiple required above $1 trillion.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,521,640Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s path to an IPO hinges on achieving at least a $1 trillion closing market cap, a threshold CEO Sam Altman has called a nonstarter to accept below. The company’s most recent private valuation stands at $852 billion following its March 2026 funding round and an August 2026 employee tender offer, with secondary trading recently implying values near $894 billion. Confidential S-1 filing occurred in June 2026, yet internal signals point to a 2027 debut to allow revenue—already exceeding a $40 billion annualized run rate—to support the higher multiple amid heavy losses and volatile AI-sector multiples. Key near-term factors include any public S-1 release, further tender pricing, and broader equity-market conditions that could influence investor appetite for the implied revenue multiple required above $1 trillion.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Wolumen
$1,521,640Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s path to an IPO hinges on achieving at least a $1 trillion closing market cap, a threshold CEO Sam Altman has called a nonstarter to accept below. The company’s most recent private valuation stands at $852 billion following its March 2026 funding round and an August 2026 employee tender offer, with secondary trading recently implying values near $894 billion. Confidential S-1 filing occurred in June 2026, yet internal signals point to a 2027 debut to allow revenue—already exceeding a $40 billion annualized run rate—to support the higher multiple amid heavy losses and volatile AI-sector multiples. Key near-term factors include any public S-1 release, further tender pricing, and broader equity-market conditions that could influence investor appetite for the implied revenue multiple required above $1 trillion.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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