Skip to main content
icon for Limit rynkowy zamknięcia IPO OpenAI
Technologia·Big Tech

Limit rynkowy zamknięcia IPO OpenAI

icon for Limit rynkowy zamknięcia IPO OpenAI
Technologia·Big Tech

Limit rynkowy zamknięcia IPO OpenAI

Dec 31

Dec 31, 2027

Dec 31

Dec 31, 2027

Brak IPO do 31 grudnia 2026 roku 52%

1,25–1,5 bln 16.3%

1,5 bln+ 13.4%

1 bln–1,25 bln 10.8%

Polymarket

$1,838,898 Wol.

Brak IPO do 31 grudnia 2026 roku 52%

1,25–1,5 bln 16.3%

1,5 bln+ 13.4%

1 bln–1,25 bln 10.8%

Polymarket

$1,838,898 Wol.

<500 mld

$289,040 Wol.

2%

500–750 mld

$159,903 Wol.

3%

750 mld–1 bln

$164,407 Wol.

7%

1 bln–1,25 bln

$204,981 Wol.

11%

1,25–1,5 bln

$514,919 Wol.

16%

1,5 bln+

$137,070 Wol.

13%

Brak IPO do 31 grudnia 2026 roku

$368,577 Wol.

52%

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**OpenAI's confidential S-1 filing in early June 2026, paired with its own statement that timing remains undecided and "it may be a while" due to private-company advantages, has anchored trader sentiment around delayed or no IPO by year-end 2026.** Heavy projected losses ($14 billion in 2026 alone), massive compute spending, and internal divergence—CEO Sam Altman favoring a potential Q4 2026 debut while CFO Sarah Friar has flagged readiness concerns—further support the 52% probability of no listing by December 31. Recent private valuation at $852 billion after a $122 billion round positions any 2026 IPO in the $1 trillion-plus range if market conditions hold, aligning with the combined 30% odds on the 1T–1.5T+ brackets. Upcoming catalysts include post-SpaceX IPO market reaction and any updates on Anthropic's parallel timeline.

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Wolumen
$1,838,898
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**OpenAI's confidential S-1 filing in early June 2026, paired with its own statement that timing remains undecided and "it may be a while" due to private-company advantages, has anchored trader sentiment around delayed or no IPO by year-end 2026.** Heavy projected losses ($14 billion in 2026 alone), massive compute spending, and internal divergence—CEO Sam Altman favoring a potential Q4 2026 debut while CFO Sarah Friar has flagged readiness concerns—further support the 52% probability of no listing by December 31. Recent private valuation at $852 billion after a $122 billion round positions any 2026 IPO in the $1 trillion-plus range if market conditions hold, aligning with the combined 30% odds on the 1T–1.5T+ brackets. Upcoming catalysts include post-SpaceX IPO market reaction and any updates on Anthropic's parallel timeline.

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Wolumen
$1,838,898
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"Limit rynkowy zamknięcia IPO OpenAI" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 7 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Brak IPO do 31 grudnia 2026 roku" z 52%, za nim "1,25–1,5 bln" z 16%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 52¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 52% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Limit rynkowy zamknięcia IPO OpenAI" wygenerował $1.8 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Sep 23, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Limit rynkowy zamknięcia IPO OpenAI", przeglądaj 7 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Limit rynkowy zamknięcia IPO OpenAI" jest "Brak IPO do 31 grudnia 2026 roku" z 52%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 52% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "1,25–1,5 bln" z 16%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Limit rynkowy zamknięcia IPO OpenAI" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.