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Technologia·Big Tech

Limit rynkowy zamknięcia IPO OpenAI

Market icon
Technologia·Big Tech

Limit rynkowy zamknięcia IPO OpenAI

Dec 31

Dec 31, 2027

Dec 31

Dec 31, 2027

Brak IPO do 31 grudnia 2026 roku 66%

1,25–1,5 bln 6.9%

1,5 bln+ 6.7%

750 mld–1 bln 5.7%

Polymarket

$1,581,876 Wol.

Brak IPO do 31 grudnia 2026 roku 66%

1,25–1,5 bln 6.9%

1,5 bln+ 6.7%

750 mld–1 bln 5.7%

Polymarket

$1,581,876 Wol.

<500 mld

$259,843 Wol.

5%

500–750 mld

$141,639 Wol.

4%

750 mld–1 bln

$135,259 Wol.

6%

1 bln–1,25 bln

$175,516 Wol.

4%

1,25–1,5 bln

$489,832 Wol.

7%

1,5 bln+

$94,923 Wol.

7%

Brak IPO do 31 grudnia 2026 roku

$284,864 Wol.

66%

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 65.5% implied probability to no OpenAI IPO by December 31, 2026, propelled by early April reports of CFO Sarah Friar challenging CEO Sam Altman's aggressive Q4 timeline as risky amid $121 billion projected annual compute spends by 2028 and Microsoft's 75% profit share until recouped. The company's $122 billion funding round closed March 31 at an $852 billion valuation—its largest ever—signals ample private capital access, diminishing public listing urgency despite IPO groundwork like reserving retail shares. High-valuation buckets (e.g., 6.9% for 1.25T–1.5T) lag on profitability doubts, with $14 billion 2026 losses anticipated and regulatory scrutiny on AI leadership; key catalysts include S-1 filing progress and competitive races with Anthropic.

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Wolumen
$1,581,876
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 65.5% implied probability to no OpenAI IPO by December 31, 2026, propelled by early April reports of CFO Sarah Friar challenging CEO Sam Altman's aggressive Q4 timeline as risky amid $121 billion projected annual compute spends by 2028 and Microsoft's 75% profit share until recouped. The company's $122 billion funding round closed March 31 at an $852 billion valuation—its largest ever—signals ample private capital access, diminishing public listing urgency despite IPO groundwork like reserving retail shares. High-valuation buckets (e.g., 6.9% for 1.25T–1.5T) lag on profitability doubts, with $14 billion 2026 losses anticipated and regulatory scrutiny on AI leadership; key catalysts include S-1 filing progress and competitive races with Anthropic.

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Wolumen
$1,581,876
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Limit rynkowy zamknięcia IPO OpenAI" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 7 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Brak IPO do 31 grudnia 2026 roku" z 66%, za nim "1,25–1,5 bln" z 7%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 66¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 66% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Limit rynkowy zamknięcia IPO OpenAI" wygenerował $1.6 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Sep 23, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Limit rynkowy zamknięcia IPO OpenAI", przeglądaj 7 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Limit rynkowy zamknięcia IPO OpenAI" jest "Brak IPO do 31 grudnia 2026 roku" z 66%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 66% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "1,25–1,5 bln" z 7%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Limit rynkowy zamknięcia IPO OpenAI" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.