OpenAI’s delayed IPO timeline to 2027 and pursuit of elevated valuations amid rapid revenue growth have created closely matched market-implied odds across valuation buckets, with the $1.25T–$1.5T range leading at 23.1%. Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1T-plus debut, reinforced by September discussions of a new private round targeting $1.5T, contrasts with the company’s March 2026 private mark of $852B and recent $40B+ annualized revenue run rate. Traders weigh these fundamentals against AI safety priorities, potential 2026 losses, competition from Anthropic’s own IPO path, and broader tech-market volatility following precedents like SpaceX. Key swing factors include upcoming model releases, infrastructure spending commitments, and any pre-IPO financing that could reset benchmarks before public listing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$1.25T–$1.5T 22.9%
$1.75T–$2.0T 19%
<$1T 17.1%
$1.5T–$1.75T 14.6%
$208,184 Wol.
$208,184 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
<$1T
17%
$1.0T–$1.25T
11%
$1.25T–$1.5T
23%
$1.5T–$1.75T
15%
$1.75T–$2.0T
19%
$2.0T–$2.25T
2%
$2.25T–$2.5T
5%
$2.5T+
14%
$1.25T–$1.5T 22.9%
$1.75T–$2.0T 19%
<$1T 17.1%
$1.5T–$1.75T 14.6%
$208,184 Wol.
$208,184 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
<$1T
$50,072 Wol.
17%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$27,304 Wol.
11%
$1.25T–$1.5T
$11,576 Wol.
23%
$1.5T–$1.75T
$14,449 Wol.
15%
$1.75T–$2.0T
$32,846 Wol.
19%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$3,020 Wol.
2%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$8,777 Wol.
5%
$2.5T+
$60,139 Wol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s delayed IPO timeline to 2027 and pursuit of elevated valuations amid rapid revenue growth have created closely matched market-implied odds across valuation buckets, with the $1.25T–$1.5T range leading at 23.1%. Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1T-plus debut, reinforced by September discussions of a new private round targeting $1.5T, contrasts with the company’s March 2026 private mark of $852B and recent $40B+ annualized revenue run rate. Traders weigh these fundamentals against AI safety priorities, potential 2026 losses, competition from Anthropic’s own IPO path, and broader tech-market volatility following precedents like SpaceX. Key swing factors include upcoming model releases, infrastructure spending commitments, and any pre-IPO financing that could reset benchmarks before public listing.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Wolumen
$208,184Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2028Rynek otwarty
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s delayed IPO timeline to 2027 and pursuit of elevated valuations amid rapid revenue growth have created closely matched market-implied odds across valuation buckets, with the $1.25T–$1.5T range leading at 23.1%. Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1T-plus debut, reinforced by September discussions of a new private round targeting $1.5T, contrasts with the company’s March 2026 private mark of $852B and recent $40B+ annualized revenue run rate. Traders weigh these fundamentals against AI safety priorities, potential 2026 losses, competition from Anthropic’s own IPO path, and broader tech-market volatility following precedents like SpaceX. Key swing factors include upcoming model releases, infrastructure spending commitments, and any pre-IPO financing that could reset benchmarks before public listing.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$208,184Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2028Rynek otwarty
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47de9d...OpenAI’s delayed IPO timeline to 2027 and pursuit of elevated valuations amid rapid revenue growth have created closely matched market-implied odds across valuation buckets, with the $1.25T–$1.5T range leading at 23.1%. Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1T-plus debut, reinforced by September discussions of a new private round targeting $1.5T, contrasts with the company’s March 2026 private mark of $852B and recent $40B+ annualized revenue run rate. Traders weigh these fundamentals against AI safety priorities, potential 2026 losses, competition from Anthropic’s own IPO path, and broader tech-market volatility following precedents like SpaceX. Key swing factors include upcoming model releases, infrastructure spending commitments, and any pre-IPO financing that could reset benchmarks before public listing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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