Recent SEC filings and accelerated roadshow details have cemented trader expectations for a SpaceX IPO debut around mid-June 2026. The company confidentially filed in April, publicly released its prospectus in May, and now targets pricing at $135 per share for a record $75 billion raise ahead of a Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX as early as June 12. This timeline, supported by swift regulatory progress and strong institutional demand signals, drives the 98.5% implied probability for June. While the consensus appears robust, last-minute delays from final approvals, shifts in market volatility, or unexpected revisions to deal terms remain plausible risks that could push resolution later.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoJune 98.5%
July <1%
No IPO before 2027 <1%
August <1%
$440,295 Wol.
$440,295 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
June
99%
July
1%
August
1%
September
<1%
October
<1%
November
<1%
December
<1%
No IPO before 2027
1%
June 98.5%
July <1%
No IPO before 2027 <1%
August <1%
$440,295 Wol.
$440,295 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
June
$130,518 Wol.
99%
July
$24,098 Wol.
1%
August
$16,554 Wol.
1%
September
$15,999 Wol.
<1%
October
$13,535 Wol.
<1%
November
$15,403 Wol.
<1%
December
$10,323 Wol.
<1%
No IPO before 2027
$22,134 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.Recent SEC filings and accelerated roadshow details have cemented trader expectations for a SpaceX IPO debut around mid-June 2026. The company confidentially filed in April, publicly released its prospectus in May, and now targets pricing at $135 per share for a record $75 billion raise ahead of a Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX as early as June 12. This timeline, supported by swift regulatory progress and strong institutional demand signals, drives the 98.5% implied probability for June. While the consensus appears robust, last-minute delays from final approvals, shifts in market volatility, or unexpected revisions to deal terms remain plausible risks that could push resolution later.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Wolumen
$440,295Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.Recent SEC filings and accelerated roadshow details have cemented trader expectations for a SpaceX IPO debut around mid-June 2026. The company confidentially filed in April, publicly released its prospectus in May, and now targets pricing at $135 per share for a record $75 billion raise ahead of a Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX as early as June 12. This timeline, supported by swift regulatory progress and strong institutional demand signals, drives the 98.5% implied probability for June. While the consensus appears robust, last-minute delays from final approvals, shifts in market volatility, or unexpected revisions to deal terms remain plausible risks that could push resolution later.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Wolumen
$440,295Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent SEC filings and accelerated roadshow details have cemented trader expectations for a SpaceX IPO debut around mid-June 2026. The company confidentially filed in April, publicly released its prospectus in May, and now targets pricing at $135 per share for a record $75 billion raise ahead of a Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX as early as June 12. This timeline, supported by swift regulatory progress and strong institutional demand signals, drives the 98.5% implied probability for June. While the consensus appears robust, last-minute delays from final approvals, shifts in market volatility, or unexpected revisions to deal terms remain plausible risks that could push resolution later.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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