Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69.5% implied probability for a SpaceX IPO in June 2026, driven by the company's confidential SEC filing on April 1 and subsequent reports detailing an early June roadshow targeting a week of June 8, with pricing potentially the week of June 15 at a $1.5–1.75 trillion valuation and $40–75 billion raise. July at 16.9% reflects contingency for minor delays in the regulatory review or roadshow execution, while "No IPO before 2027" at just 5.9% signals strong momentum from SpaceX's Starlink revenue growth and Starship milestones amid favorable mega-IPO market conditions. Key catalysts ahead include S-1 prospectus release and investor site visits, though execution risks like valuation negotiations persist in this unprecedented deal scale.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoJune 70%
July 16.9%
No IPO before 2027 5.9%
August 4.5%
$252,675 Wol.
$252,675 Wol.
April
<1%
May
1%
June
70%
July
17%
August
5%
September
3%
October
1%
November
1%
December
1%
No IPO before 2027
6%
June 70%
July 16.9%
No IPO before 2027 5.9%
August 4.5%
$252,675 Wol.
$252,675 Wol.
April
<1%
May
1%
June
70%
July
17%
August
5%
September
3%
October
1%
November
1%
December
1%
No IPO before 2027
6%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69.5% implied probability for a SpaceX IPO in June 2026, driven by the company's confidential SEC filing on April 1 and subsequent reports detailing an early June roadshow targeting a week of June 8, with pricing potentially the week of June 15 at a $1.5–1.75 trillion valuation and $40–75 billion raise. July at 16.9% reflects contingency for minor delays in the regulatory review or roadshow execution, while "No IPO before 2027" at just 5.9% signals strong momentum from SpaceX's Starlink revenue growth and Starship milestones amid favorable mega-IPO market conditions. Key catalysts ahead include S-1 prospectus release and investor site visits, though execution risks like valuation negotiations persist in this unprecedented deal scale.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania