Databricks' latest $5 billion funding round closed at a $190 billion private valuation in August 2026, supported by an accelerating $7 billion-plus annualized revenue run rate and 80% year-over-year growth, establishing a high benchmark that shapes trader sentiment for its eventual IPO closing market cap. CEO comments labeling 2026 a poor window amid larger AI listings from OpenAI, Anthropic, and others have reinforced expectations of a 2027 debut or later, keeping the no-IPO-by-end-2027 outcome at 27.5% while distributing probability evenly across $150–450 billion buckets. Competitive dynamics hinge on revenue multiples relative to peers like Snowflake, broader equity risk appetite, and any pre-IPO secondary activity that could reset floors or ceilings before an S-1 filing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$200B-$250B 95%
$250B-$300B 95%
$300B-$350B 95%
$350B-$400B 95%
<$150B
-
$150B-$200B
-
$200B-$250B
95%
$250B-$300B
95%
$300B-$350B
95%
$350B-$400B
95%
$400B-$450B
-
$450B+
-
No IPO by December 31, 2027
47%
$200B-$250B 95%
$250B-$300B 95%
$300B-$350B 95%
$350B-$400B 95%
<$150B
-
$150B-$200B
-
$200B-$250B
95%
$250B-$300B
95%
$300B-$350B
95%
$350B-$400B
95%
$400B-$450B
-
$450B+
-
No IPO by December 31, 2027
47%
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Databricks' latest $5 billion funding round closed at a $190 billion private valuation in August 2026, supported by an accelerating $7 billion-plus annualized revenue run rate and 80% year-over-year growth, establishing a high benchmark that shapes trader sentiment for its eventual IPO closing market cap. CEO comments labeling 2026 a poor window amid larger AI listings from OpenAI, Anthropic, and others have reinforced expectations of a 2027 debut or later, keeping the no-IPO-by-end-2027 outcome at 27.5% while distributing probability evenly across $150–450 billion buckets. Competitive dynamics hinge on revenue multiples relative to peers like Snowflake, broader equity risk appetite, and any pre-IPO secondary activity that could reset floors or ceilings before an S-1 filing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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