Goldman Sachs holds a commanding 79.5% market-implied probability as lead underwriter for OpenAI’s IPO due to its established advisory role in the company’s 2025 recapitalization and prominent position alongside Morgan Stanley in the confidential S-1 filing process completed in June 2026. Traders view Goldman’s track record leading major tech listings, including recent SpaceX involvement, as giving it a structural edge over Morgan Stanley at 11% for the “lead left” bookrunner spot in what could become one of the largest AI-related offerings. OpenAI’s subsequent signals of a potential 2027 timeline rather than late-2026 launch have introduced modest uncertainty around execution but have not altered the bank hierarchy reflected in current odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Goldman Sachs 80%
Morgan Stanley 12%
UBS 2.4%
Bank of America 1.0%
$42,600 Wol.
$42,600 Wol.

Goldman Sachs
80%

Morgan Stanley
12%

UBS
2%

Bank of America
1%

JPMorgan
1%

Wells Fargo
<1%

Citigroup
<1%

Barclays
<1%

Deutsche Bank
<1%
Goldman Sachs 80%
Morgan Stanley 12%
UBS 2.4%
Bank of America 1.0%
$42,600 Wol.
$42,600 Wol.

Goldman Sachs
80%

Morgan Stanley
12%

UBS
2%

Bank of America
1%

JPMorgan
1%

Wells Fargo
<1%

Citigroup
<1%

Barclays
<1%

Deutsche Bank
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Goldman Sachs holds a commanding 79.5% market-implied probability as lead underwriter for OpenAI’s IPO due to its established advisory role in the company’s 2025 recapitalization and prominent position alongside Morgan Stanley in the confidential S-1 filing process completed in June 2026. Traders view Goldman’s track record leading major tech listings, including recent SpaceX involvement, as giving it a structural edge over Morgan Stanley at 11% for the “lead left” bookrunner spot in what could become one of the largest AI-related offerings. OpenAI’s subsequent signals of a potential 2027 timeline rather than late-2026 launch have introduced modest uncertainty around execution but have not altered the bank hierarchy reflected in current odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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