Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service and international models point to clearing skies and moderate south-easterly winds on August 30, favoring overnight radiative cooling and minimum temperatures clustered around 10–12 °C. These conditions align with typical late-winter patterns in Cape Town’s Mediterranean climate, where clear nights and dry air advection from the south enhance heat loss after daytime highs near 16 °C. Model spread and slight variations in cloud timing create the tight market distribution between 8 °C, 10 °C, and 11 °C outcomes, as traders weigh the balance between stronger cooling under clear skies versus any residual moisture or wind mixing that could lift the low. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 30?
6°C or below 55%
8°C 49%
12°C 49%
14°C 43%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
55%
7°C
19%
8°C
49%
9°C
21%
10°C
28%
11°C
28%
12°C
49%
13°C
2%
14°C
43%
15°C
19%
16°C or higher
43%
6°C or below 55%
8°C 49%
12°C 49%
14°C 43%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Wol.
55%
7°C
$0 Wol.
19%
8°C
$0 Wol.
49%
9°C
$131 Wol.
21%
10°C
$0 Wol.
28%
11°C
$0 Wol.
28%
12°C
$0 Wol.
49%
13°C
$0 Wol.
2%
14°C
$0 Wol.
43%
15°C
$0 Wol.
19%
16°C or higher
$0 Wol.
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service and international models point to clearing skies and moderate south-easterly winds on August 30, favoring overnight radiative cooling and minimum temperatures clustered around 10–12 °C. These conditions align with typical late-winter patterns in Cape Town’s Mediterranean climate, where clear nights and dry air advection from the south enhance heat loss after daytime highs near 16 °C. Model spread and slight variations in cloud timing create the tight market distribution between 8 °C, 10 °C, and 11 °C outcomes, as traders weigh the balance between stronger cooling under clear skies versus any residual moisture or wind mixing that could lift the low. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$131Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service and international models point to clearing skies and moderate south-easterly winds on August 30, favoring overnight radiative cooling and minimum temperatures clustered around 10–12 °C. These conditions align with typical late-winter patterns in Cape Town’s Mediterranean climate, where clear nights and dry air advection from the south enhance heat loss after daytime highs near 16 °C. Model spread and slight variations in cloud timing create the tight market distribution between 8 °C, 10 °C, and 11 °C outcomes, as traders weigh the balance between stronger cooling under clear skies versus any residual moisture or wind mixing that could lift the low. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$131Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service and international models point to clearing skies and moderate south-easterly winds on August 30, favoring overnight radiative cooling and minimum temperatures clustered around 10–12 °C. These conditions align with typical late-winter patterns in Cape Town’s Mediterranean climate, where clear nights and dry air advection from the south enhance heat loss after daytime highs near 16 °C. Model spread and slight variations in cloud timing create the tight market distribution between 8 °C, 10 °C, and 11 °C outcomes, as traders weigh the balance between stronger cooling under clear skies versus any residual moisture or wind mixing that could lift the low. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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