Recent short-term forecasts from global and regional models place Chengdu’s August 24 minimum temperature near 23–25 °C, with ensemble spreads creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25 °C, 20 °C or below, and adjacent bins. Primary drivers include persistent East Asian monsoon moisture that sustains high humidity and limits nocturnal radiative cooling, combined with variable cloud cover and light showers that further moderate temperature drops. Historical climatology shows typical late-August lows near 22–24 °C, while current steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions favor modest warming relative to that baseline. Updated model runs and next-day observational data from regional meteorological agencies will likely refine these probabilities as the event approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 24?
30°C or higher 86%
20°C or below 81%
25°C 47%
26°C 43%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
20°C or below
81%
21°C
41%
22°C
40%
23°C
22%
24°C
28%
25°C
47%
26°C
43%
27°C
43%
28°C
5%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
86%
30°C or higher 86%
20°C or below 81%
25°C 47%
26°C 43%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
20°C or below
$5 Wol.
81%
21°C
$5 Wol.
41%
22°C
$0 Wol.
40%
23°C
$0 Wol.
22%
24°C
$0 Wol.
28%
25°C
$0 Wol.
47%
26°C
$0 Wol.
43%
27°C
$0 Wol.
43%
28°C
$5 Wol.
5%
29°C
$5 Wol.
8%
30°C or higher
$5 Wol.
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from global and regional models place Chengdu’s August 24 minimum temperature near 23–25 °C, with ensemble spreads creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25 °C, 20 °C or below, and adjacent bins. Primary drivers include persistent East Asian monsoon moisture that sustains high humidity and limits nocturnal radiative cooling, combined with variable cloud cover and light showers that further moderate temperature drops. Historical climatology shows typical late-August lows near 22–24 °C, while current steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions favor modest warming relative to that baseline. Updated model runs and next-day observational data from regional meteorological agencies will likely refine these probabilities as the event approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$25Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from global and regional models place Chengdu’s August 24 minimum temperature near 23–25 °C, with ensemble spreads creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25 °C, 20 °C or below, and adjacent bins. Primary drivers include persistent East Asian monsoon moisture that sustains high humidity and limits nocturnal radiative cooling, combined with variable cloud cover and light showers that further moderate temperature drops. Historical climatology shows typical late-August lows near 22–24 °C, while current steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions favor modest warming relative to that baseline. Updated model runs and next-day observational data from regional meteorological agencies will likely refine these probabilities as the event approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$25Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from global and regional models place Chengdu’s August 24 minimum temperature near 23–25 °C, with ensemble spreads creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25 °C, 20 °C or below, and adjacent bins. Primary drivers include persistent East Asian monsoon moisture that sustains high humidity and limits nocturnal radiative cooling, combined with variable cloud cover and light showers that further moderate temperature drops. Historical climatology shows typical late-August lows near 22–24 °C, while current steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions favor modest warming relative to that baseline. Updated model runs and next-day observational data from regional meteorological agencies will likely refine these probabilities as the event approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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