Recent rainfall and a cold air intrusion over western Chongqing have driven overnight cooling ahead of August 30, with multiple forecast models showing daily minimums of 22–24 °C after the 28–29 August system. Historical late-August lows average near 25–26 °C, but the current pattern favors a sharper drop tied to cloud cover, higher humidity, and reduced daytime heating. Trader odds cluster tightly across 20–25 °C outcomes because model runs differ mainly on exact steering and residual moisture, while the modest probability on 29 °C+ reflects lingering uncertainty if clearing occurs faster than expected. Updated numerical guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Chongqing on August 30?
29°C or higher 59%
20°C 49%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
19°C or below
46%
20°C
49%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
43%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
59%
29°C or higher 59%
20°C 49%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
19°C or below
46%
20°C
49%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
43%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent rainfall and a cold air intrusion over western Chongqing have driven overnight cooling ahead of August 30, with multiple forecast models showing daily minimums of 22–24 °C after the 28–29 August system. Historical late-August lows average near 25–26 °C, but the current pattern favors a sharper drop tied to cloud cover, higher humidity, and reduced daytime heating. Trader odds cluster tightly across 20–25 °C outcomes because model runs differ mainly on exact steering and residual moisture, while the modest probability on 29 °C+ reflects lingering uncertainty if clearing occurs faster than expected. Updated numerical guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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