The market's decisive 100% consensus on 25°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official observational data, which recorded a daily minimum of exactly that value on June 7. This outcome aligns with early June climatology in Hong Kong's subtropical regime, where typical nighttime radiative cooling under moist, partly cloudy conditions produces minima near 24–26°C absent major synoptic influences such as a cold front or typhoon. No anomalous weather patterns altered the standard diurnal cycle, and official station measurements confirm the reading without revision. While model forecasts can diverge on short-term humidity or wind shifts, the post-event data release leaves little room for alternative outcomes unless a rare measurement discrepancy emerges at resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 7?
25°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$38,621 Wol.
$38,621 Wol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$38,621 Wol.
$38,621 Wol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 6, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The market's decisive 100% consensus on 25°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official observational data, which recorded a daily minimum of exactly that value on June 7. This outcome aligns with early June climatology in Hong Kong's subtropical regime, where typical nighttime radiative cooling under moist, partly cloudy conditions produces minima near 24–26°C absent major synoptic influences such as a cold front or typhoon. No anomalous weather patterns altered the standard diurnal cycle, and official station measurements confirm the reading without revision. While model forecasts can diverge on short-term humidity or wind shifts, the post-event data release leaves little room for alternative outcomes unless a rare measurement discrepancy emerges at resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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