The Hong Kong Observatory forecast of 26–31°C for September 4 underpins the overwhelming 97.5% market-implied odds for a 26°C daily minimum. Official guidance and real-time observations from stations across the territory show overnight temperatures holding near or above this threshold amid weak west-to-northwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and high humidity that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where typical lows range 25–27°C absent major synoptic shifts. A rapid influx of cooler continental air, unforecasted heavy rainfall, or localized microclimate effects at the reference station could push the minimum lower, though current model consensus and stable steering patterns make such outcomes improbable before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 4?
26°C 98%
25°C 5%
24°C 2.7%
23°C <1%
$23,942 Wol.
$23,942 Wol.
Sep 4, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
98%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 98%
25°C 5%
24°C 2.7%
23°C <1%
$23,942 Wol.
$23,942 Wol.
Sep 4, 2026
20°C or below
$1,785 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$134 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$558 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$1,469 Wol.
1%
24°C
$1,603 Wol.
3%
25°C
$7,746 Wol.
5%
26°C
$4,045 Wol.
98%
27°C
$2,717 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$2,691 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$1,034 Wol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$160 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory forecast of 26–31°C for September 4 underpins the overwhelming 97.5% market-implied odds for a 26°C daily minimum. Official guidance and real-time observations from stations across the territory show overnight temperatures holding near or above this threshold amid weak west-to-northwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and high humidity that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where typical lows range 25–27°C absent major synoptic shifts. A rapid influx of cooler continental air, unforecasted heavy rainfall, or localized microclimate effects at the reference station could push the minimum lower, though current model consensus and stable steering patterns make such outcomes improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$23,942Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory forecast of 26–31°C for September 4 underpins the overwhelming 97.5% market-implied odds for a 26°C daily minimum. Official guidance and real-time observations from stations across the territory show overnight temperatures holding near or above this threshold amid weak west-to-northwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and high humidity that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where typical lows range 25–27°C absent major synoptic shifts. A rapid influx of cooler continental air, unforecasted heavy rainfall, or localized microclimate effects at the reference station could push the minimum lower, though current model consensus and stable steering patterns make such outcomes improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$23,942Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory forecast of 26–31°C for September 4 underpins the overwhelming 97.5% market-implied odds for a 26°C daily minimum. Official guidance and real-time observations from stations across the territory show overnight temperatures holding near or above this threshold amid weak west-to-northwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and high humidity that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where typical lows range 25–27°C absent major synoptic shifts. A rapid influx of cooler continental air, unforecasted heavy rainfall, or localized microclimate effects at the reference station could push the minimum lower, though current model consensus and stable steering patterns make such outcomes improbable before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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