Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Istanbul on September 7 likely between 18–22°C under stable high pressure, northeasterly flow, and mostly clear skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. This setup favors the closely matched market-implied odds near 21–20°C while keeping extremes like 24°C or higher and 14°C or below near parity due to typical model spread in boundary-layer mixing and wind gusts. Historical September baselines around 18–20°C provide context, but traders weigh the latest model runs showing modest cooling potential from drier air advection against any delayed sea-breeze moderation. Updated official guidance from Turkish meteorological services and next model cycles will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the overnight low.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 7?
24°C or higher 96%
15°C 50%
16°C 50%
17°C 50%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 7, 2026
14°C or below
46%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
50%
18°C
50%
19°C
50%
20°C
31%
21°C
29%
22°C
27%
23°C
50%
24°C or higher
96%
24°C or higher 96%
15°C 50%
16°C 50%
17°C 50%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 7, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Wol.
46%
15°C
$0 Wol.
50%
16°C
$0 Wol.
50%
17°C
$0 Wol.
50%
18°C
$0 Wol.
50%
19°C
$0 Wol.
50%
20°C
$0 Wol.
31%
21°C
$0 Wol.
29%
22°C
$0 Wol.
27%
23°C
$0 Wol.
50%
24°C or higher
$0 Wol.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Istanbul on September 7 likely between 18–22°C under stable high pressure, northeasterly flow, and mostly clear skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. This setup favors the closely matched market-implied odds near 21–20°C while keeping extremes like 24°C or higher and 14°C or below near parity due to typical model spread in boundary-layer mixing and wind gusts. Historical September baselines around 18–20°C provide context, but traders weigh the latest model runs showing modest cooling potential from drier air advection against any delayed sea-breeze moderation. Updated official guidance from Turkish meteorological services and next model cycles will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the overnight low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Istanbul on September 7 likely between 18–22°C under stable high pressure, northeasterly flow, and mostly clear skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. This setup favors the closely matched market-implied odds near 21–20°C while keeping extremes like 24°C or higher and 14°C or below near parity due to typical model spread in boundary-layer mixing and wind gusts. Historical September baselines around 18–20°C provide context, but traders weigh the latest model runs showing modest cooling potential from drier air advection against any delayed sea-breeze moderation. Updated official guidance from Turkish meteorological services and next model cycles will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the overnight low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Istanbul on September 7 likely between 18–22°C under stable high pressure, northeasterly flow, and mostly clear skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. This setup favors the closely matched market-implied odds near 21–20°C while keeping extremes like 24°C or higher and 14°C or below near parity due to typical model spread in boundary-layer mixing and wind gusts. Historical September baselines around 18–20°C provide context, but traders weigh the latest model runs showing modest cooling potential from drier air advection against any delayed sea-breeze moderation. Updated official guidance from Turkish meteorological services and next model cycles will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the overnight low.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania