Current Met Office and ensemble model guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 15–16°C for London on August 30, driven by overnight westerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling under a mild, unsettled pattern with scattered showers. This consensus underpins the market’s tight clustering around 16°C (40.5%) and 17°C (32.5%), while lower probabilities for 15°C or 18°C reflect typical model spread in boundary-layer temperatures and timing of any clearing. Historical August minima average near 14–15°C, but the recent warmer regime and expected 15–23°C diurnal range support the current trader weighting. Updated high-resolution runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact low before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on August 30?
Lowest temperature in London on August 30?
16°C 41%
17°C 37%
15°C 22%
18°C 18%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
11°C or below
2%
12°C
9%
13°C
14%
14°C
15%
15°C
22%
16°C
41%
17°C
37%
18°C
18%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
1%
16°C 41%
17°C 37%
15°C 22%
18°C 18%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
11°C or below
$5 Wol.
2%
12°C
$20 Wol.
9%
13°C
$0 Wol.
14%
14°C
$0 Wol.
15%
15°C
$0 Wol.
22%
16°C
$131 Wol.
41%
17°C
$57 Wol.
37%
18°C
$0 Wol.
18%
19°C
$5 Wol.
2%
20°C
$5 Wol.
2%
21°C or higher
$5 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office and ensemble model guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 15–16°C for London on August 30, driven by overnight westerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling under a mild, unsettled pattern with scattered showers. This consensus underpins the market’s tight clustering around 16°C (40.5%) and 17°C (32.5%), while lower probabilities for 15°C or 18°C reflect typical model spread in boundary-layer temperatures and timing of any clearing. Historical August minima average near 14–15°C, but the recent warmer regime and expected 15–23°C diurnal range support the current trader weighting. Updated high-resolution runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$229Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office and ensemble model guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 15–16°C for London on August 30, driven by overnight westerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling under a mild, unsettled pattern with scattered showers. This consensus underpins the market’s tight clustering around 16°C (40.5%) and 17°C (32.5%), while lower probabilities for 15°C or 18°C reflect typical model spread in boundary-layer temperatures and timing of any clearing. Historical August minima average near 14–15°C, but the recent warmer regime and expected 15–23°C diurnal range support the current trader weighting. Updated high-resolution runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$229Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Met Office and ensemble model guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 15–16°C for London on August 30, driven by overnight westerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling under a mild, unsettled pattern with scattered showers. This consensus underpins the market’s tight clustering around 16°C (40.5%) and 17°C (32.5%), while lower probabilities for 15°C or 18°C reflect typical model spread in boundary-layer temperatures and timing of any clearing. Historical August minima average near 14–15°C, but the recent warmer regime and expected 15–23°C diurnal range support the current trader weighting. Updated high-resolution runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact low before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania