Official Met Office observations from London Heathrow and nearby stations confirm the minimum temperature reached 14°C overnight into May 3, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on this outcome. Mild southwesterly winds around 7-8 knots and patchy cloud cover limited radiative cooling, while the urban heat island effect in Greater London prevented sharper drops typical of clear spring nights. This aligns with climatological May norms of 8-10°C lows at Heathrow but reflects the specific synoptic pattern of high pressure influence over southern England. Final quality-controlled data release could theoretically revise readings if an anomalous rural probe emerges, though current site reports show no discrepancies.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on May 3?
Lowest temperature in London on May 3?
14°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$13,762 Wol.
$13,762 Wol.
May 3, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$13,762 Wol.
$13,762 Wol.
May 3, 2026
7°C or below
$727 Wol.
No
8°C
$370 Wol.
No
9°C
$751 Wol.
No
10°C
$751 Wol.
No
11°C
$1,144 Wol.
No
12°C
$1,257 Wol.
No
13°C
$2,561 Wol.
No
14°C
$2,890 Wol.
Yes
15°C
$1,138 Wol.
No
16°C
$1,018 Wol.
No
17°C or higher
$1,155 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Met Office observations from London Heathrow and nearby stations confirm the minimum temperature reached 14°C overnight into May 3, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on this outcome. Mild southwesterly winds around 7-8 knots and patchy cloud cover limited radiative cooling, while the urban heat island effect in Greater London prevented sharper drops typical of clear spring nights. This aligns with climatological May norms of 8-10°C lows at Heathrow but reflects the specific synoptic pattern of high pressure influence over southern England. Final quality-controlled data release could theoretically revise readings if an anomalous rural probe emerges, though current site reports show no discrepancies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Wolumen
$13,762Data zakończenia
May 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Met Office observations from London Heathrow and nearby stations confirm the minimum temperature reached 14°C overnight into May 3, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on this outcome. Mild southwesterly winds around 7-8 knots and patchy cloud cover limited radiative cooling, while the urban heat island effect in Greater London prevented sharper drops typical of clear spring nights. This aligns with climatological May norms of 8-10°C lows at Heathrow but reflects the specific synoptic pattern of high pressure influence over southern England. Final quality-controlled data release could theoretically revise readings if an anomalous rural probe emerges, though current site reports show no discrepancies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$13,762Data zakończenia
May 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official Met Office observations from London Heathrow and nearby stations confirm the minimum temperature reached 14°C overnight into May 3, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on this outcome. Mild southwesterly winds around 7-8 knots and patchy cloud cover limited radiative cooling, while the urban heat island effect in Greater London prevented sharper drops typical of clear spring nights. This aligns with climatological May norms of 8-10°C lows at Heathrow but reflects the specific synoptic pattern of high pressure influence over southern England. Final quality-controlled data release could theoretically revise readings if an anomalous rural probe emerges, though current site reports show no discrepancies.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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