Trader consensus shows notable uncertainty in Miami's overnight minimum for July 13, with the 73°F-or-below outcome at 39% implied probability closely matched by the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins near 38%. Key scientific drivers include subtropical ridge positioning that modulates wind flow and moisture advection from the warm Gulf Stream, plus variable cloud cover and potential convective activity that alter radiative cooling rates. National Weather Service ensemble guidance exhibits spread in boundary-layer humidity and low-level wind shear, which can shift minima by several degrees. July climatology places typical lows near 76–78°F, underscoring how small forecast deviations in these factors sustain the dispersed market odds ahead of the next model update cycle.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Miami on July 13?
Lowest temperature in Miami on July 13?
78-79°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$17,795 Wol.
$17,795 Wol.
Jul 13, 2026
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$17,795 Wol.
$17,795 Wol.
Jul 13, 2026
73°F or below
$1,467 Wol.
No
74-75°F
$1,965 Wol.
No
76-77°F
$2,037 Wol.
No
78-79°F
$3,770 Wol.
Yes
80-81°F
$2,490 Wol.
No
82-83°F
$3,097 Wol.
No
84-85°F
$1,052 Wol.
No
86-87°F
$684 Wol.
No
88-89°F
$399 Wol.
No
90-91°F
$444 Wol.
No
92°F or higher
$389 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows notable uncertainty in Miami's overnight minimum for July 13, with the 73°F-or-below outcome at 39% implied probability closely matched by the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins near 38%. Key scientific drivers include subtropical ridge positioning that modulates wind flow and moisture advection from the warm Gulf Stream, plus variable cloud cover and potential convective activity that alter radiative cooling rates. National Weather Service ensemble guidance exhibits spread in boundary-layer humidity and low-level wind shear, which can shift minima by several degrees. July climatology places typical lows near 76–78°F, underscoring how small forecast deviations in these factors sustain the dispersed market odds ahead of the next model update cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 11, 2026, 11:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$17,795Data zakończenia
Jul 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 11, 2026, 11:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows notable uncertainty in Miami's overnight minimum for July 13, with the 73°F-or-below outcome at 39% implied probability closely matched by the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins near 38%. Key scientific drivers include subtropical ridge positioning that modulates wind flow and moisture advection from the warm Gulf Stream, plus variable cloud cover and potential convective activity that alter radiative cooling rates. National Weather Service ensemble guidance exhibits spread in boundary-layer humidity and low-level wind shear, which can shift minima by several degrees. July climatology places typical lows near 76–78°F, underscoring how small forecast deviations in these factors sustain the dispersed market odds ahead of the next model update cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$17,795Data zakończenia
Jul 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 11, 2026, 11:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus shows notable uncertainty in Miami's overnight minimum for July 13, with the 73°F-or-below outcome at 39% implied probability closely matched by the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins near 38%. Key scientific drivers include subtropical ridge positioning that modulates wind flow and moisture advection from the warm Gulf Stream, plus variable cloud cover and potential convective activity that alter radiative cooling rates. National Weather Service ensemble guidance exhibits spread in boundary-layer humidity and low-level wind shear, which can shift minima by several degrees. July climatology places typical lows near 76–78°F, underscoring how small forecast deviations in these factors sustain the dispersed market odds ahead of the next model update cycle.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania