Trader consensus clusters tightly around 80–83°F for Miami’s July 20 low, reflecting the subtropical marine influence that typically caps overnight cooling near 78–82°F in mid-July. High humidity and frequent cloud cover suppress radiative heat loss, while Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 86°F maintain a warm boundary layer. Recent model runs show no strong cold front or unusual subsidence that would allow deeper drops, keeping sub-76°F outcomes below 35% implied probability. Forecasters from NOAA and local NWS offices highlight steady easterly flow and typical diurnal ranges of 8–12°F, with any variance hinging on tonight’s cloud timing and wind speed. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Miami on July 20?
Lowest temperature in Miami on July 20?
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$16,454 Wol.
$16,454 Wol.
Jul 20, 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$16,454 Wol.
$16,454 Wol.
Jul 20, 2026
71°F or below
$399 Wol.
No
72-73°F
$409 Wol.
No
74-75°F
$1,160 Wol.
No
76-77°F
$1,206 Wol.
No
78-79°F
$1,282 Wol.
No
80-81°F
$2,466 Wol.
No
82-83°F
$3,535 Wol.
Yes
84-85°F
$2,033 Wol.
No
86-87°F
$754 Wol.
No
88-89°F
$493 Wol.
No
90°F or higher
$2,717 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 80–83°F for Miami’s July 20 low, reflecting the subtropical marine influence that typically caps overnight cooling near 78–82°F in mid-July. High humidity and frequent cloud cover suppress radiative heat loss, while Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 86°F maintain a warm boundary layer. Recent model runs show no strong cold front or unusual subsidence that would allow deeper drops, keeping sub-76°F outcomes below 35% implied probability. Forecasters from NOAA and local NWS offices highlight steady easterly flow and typical diurnal ranges of 8–12°F, with any variance hinging on tonight’s cloud timing and wind speed. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 18, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$16,454Data zakończenia
Jul 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 18, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 80–83°F for Miami’s July 20 low, reflecting the subtropical marine influence that typically caps overnight cooling near 78–82°F in mid-July. High humidity and frequent cloud cover suppress radiative heat loss, while Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 86°F maintain a warm boundary layer. Recent model runs show no strong cold front or unusual subsidence that would allow deeper drops, keeping sub-76°F outcomes below 35% implied probability. Forecasters from NOAA and local NWS offices highlight steady easterly flow and typical diurnal ranges of 8–12°F, with any variance hinging on tonight’s cloud timing and wind speed. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$16,454Data zakończenia
Jul 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 18, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus clusters tightly around 80–83°F for Miami’s July 20 low, reflecting the subtropical marine influence that typically caps overnight cooling near 78–82°F in mid-July. High humidity and frequent cloud cover suppress radiative heat loss, while Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 86°F maintain a warm boundary layer. Recent model runs show no strong cold front or unusual subsidence that would allow deeper drops, keeping sub-76°F outcomes below 35% implied probability. Forecasters from NOAA and local NWS offices highlight steady easterly flow and typical diurnal ranges of 8–12°F, with any variance hinging on tonight’s cloud timing and wind speed. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania