Official National Weather Service observations from the Miami International Airport (KMIA) automated surface observing system confirm the lowest temperature on May 9, 2026, fell within 74-75°F, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast models projecting overnight minima near 73°F amid southerly winds, dewpoints in the mid-70s°F, and partial cloud cover that curtailed radiative cooling overnight. Early May climatology at KMIA supports such readings, with average lows around 73°F and historical May 9 minima rarely dipping below 71°F due to South Florida's maritime influence and urban heat island effects. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from verified ASOS records, with final quality-controlled reports expected soon from the Local Climatological Data program.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Miami on May 9?
Lowest temperature in Miami on May 9?
74-75°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$44,064 Wol.
$44,064 Wol.
May 9, 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
Yes
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
74-75°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$44,064 Wol.
$44,064 Wol.
May 9, 2026
71°F or below
$4,167 Wol.
No
72-73°F
$5,564 Wol.
No
74-75°F
$4,203 Wol.
Yes
76-77°F
$3,219 Wol.
No
78-79°F
$15,138 Wol.
No
80-81°F
$988 Wol.
No
82-83°F
$1,301 Wol.
No
84-85°F
$2,246 Wol.
No
86-87°F
$2,873 Wol.
No
88-89°F
$3,188 Wol.
No
90°F or higher
$1,177 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the Miami International Airport (KMIA) automated surface observing system confirm the lowest temperature on May 9, 2026, fell within 74-75°F, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast models projecting overnight minima near 73°F amid southerly winds, dewpoints in the mid-70s°F, and partial cloud cover that curtailed radiative cooling overnight. Early May climatology at KMIA supports such readings, with average lows around 73°F and historical May 9 minima rarely dipping below 71°F due to South Florida's maritime influence and urban heat island effects. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from verified ASOS records, with final quality-controlled reports expected soon from the Local Climatological Data program.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 7, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Wolumen
$44,064Data zakończenia
May 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 7, 2026, 12:01 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the Miami International Airport (KMIA) automated surface observing system confirm the lowest temperature on May 9, 2026, fell within 74-75°F, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast models projecting overnight minima near 73°F amid southerly winds, dewpoints in the mid-70s°F, and partial cloud cover that curtailed radiative cooling overnight. Early May climatology at KMIA supports such readings, with average lows around 73°F and historical May 9 minima rarely dipping below 71°F due to South Florida's maritime influence and urban heat island effects. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from verified ASOS records, with final quality-controlled reports expected soon from the Local Climatological Data program.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$44,064Data zakończenia
May 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 7, 2026, 12:01 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official National Weather Service observations from the Miami International Airport (KMIA) automated surface observing system confirm the lowest temperature on May 9, 2026, fell within 74-75°F, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast models projecting overnight minima near 73°F amid southerly winds, dewpoints in the mid-70s°F, and partial cloud cover that curtailed radiative cooling overnight. Early May climatology at KMIA supports such readings, with average lows around 73°F and historical May 9 minima rarely dipping below 71°F due to South Florida's maritime influence and urban heat island effects. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from verified ASOS records, with final quality-controlled reports expected soon from the Local Climatological Data program.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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