Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for New York City on August 23 points to an overnight low in the mid-to-upper 60s, with Central Park forecasts centering near 67°F amid partly to mostly cloudy skies, a 50% chance of showers or thunderstorms, and light east-to-southwest winds. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 67.5°F for the date. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity are limiting radiative cooling overnight, while any afternoon convection could further moderate the diurnal range. Market-implied odds favoring 68–71°F reflect trader assessment of these moderating influences and recent warmer-than-normal August conditions, though model consensus leaves room for slight downward revisions if clearer skies develop after midnight. Updated NWS briefings and morning observations on August 23 will refine resolution probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on August 23?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 23?
70-71°F 45%
68-69°F 25%
72-73°F 17%
66-67°F 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
59°F or below
1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
11%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
45%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
2%
78°F or higher
4%
70-71°F 45%
68-69°F 25%
72-73°F 17%
66-67°F 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
59°F or below
$5 Wol.
1%
60-61°F
$5 Wol.
2%
62-63°F
$15 Wol.
11%
64-65°F
$61 Wol.
7%
66-67°F
$0 Wol.
11%
68-69°F
$0 Wol.
25%
70-71°F
$21 Wol.
45%
72-73°F
$10 Wol.
17%
74-75°F
$25 Wol.
5%
76-77°F
$75 Wol.
2%
78°F or higher
$5 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for New York City on August 23 points to an overnight low in the mid-to-upper 60s, with Central Park forecasts centering near 67°F amid partly to mostly cloudy skies, a 50% chance of showers or thunderstorms, and light east-to-southwest winds. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 67.5°F for the date. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity are limiting radiative cooling overnight, while any afternoon convection could further moderate the diurnal range. Market-implied odds favoring 68–71°F reflect trader assessment of these moderating influences and recent warmer-than-normal August conditions, though model consensus leaves room for slight downward revisions if clearer skies develop after midnight. Updated NWS briefings and morning observations on August 23 will refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$223Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for New York City on August 23 points to an overnight low in the mid-to-upper 60s, with Central Park forecasts centering near 67°F amid partly to mostly cloudy skies, a 50% chance of showers or thunderstorms, and light east-to-southwest winds. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 67.5°F for the date. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity are limiting radiative cooling overnight, while any afternoon convection could further moderate the diurnal range. Market-implied odds favoring 68–71°F reflect trader assessment of these moderating influences and recent warmer-than-normal August conditions, though model consensus leaves room for slight downward revisions if clearer skies develop after midnight. Updated NWS briefings and morning observations on August 23 will refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$223Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for New York City on August 23 points to an overnight low in the mid-to-upper 60s, with Central Park forecasts centering near 67°F amid partly to mostly cloudy skies, a 50% chance of showers or thunderstorms, and light east-to-southwest winds. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 67.5°F for the date. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity are limiting radiative cooling overnight, while any afternoon convection could further moderate the diurnal range. Market-implied odds favoring 68–71°F reflect trader assessment of these moderating influences and recent warmer-than-normal August conditions, though model consensus leaves room for slight downward revisions if clearer skies develop after midnight. Updated NWS briefings and morning observations on August 23 will refine resolution probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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