National Weather Service model ensembles and observational data have converged on a 60–61°F overnight low for New York City on May 26, driven by moderate radiational cooling beneath partly cloudy skies and a light northerly flow that limited heat retention after daytime highs near 78°F. Late-May climatology supports this range, with typical lows of 55–62°F under similar high-pressure setups and minimal moisture advection. Trader consensus at 100% on the 60–61°F bin reflects these consistent short-range forecasts and the absence of disruptive weather features. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger southerly winds, or an unforecast frontal boundary could lower readings several degrees and shift resolution, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before the measurement window closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on May 26?
60-61°F 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$13,168 Wol.
$13,168 Wol.
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
Yes
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68°F or higher
No
60-61°F 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$13,168 Wol.
$13,168 Wol.
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
Yes
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 22, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
National Weather Service model ensembles and observational data have converged on a 60–61°F overnight low for New York City on May 26, driven by moderate radiational cooling beneath partly cloudy skies and a light northerly flow that limited heat retention after daytime highs near 78°F. Late-May climatology supports this range, with typical lows of 55–62°F under similar high-pressure setups and minimal moisture advection. Trader consensus at 100% on the 60–61°F bin reflects these consistent short-range forecasts and the absence of disruptive weather features. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger southerly winds, or an unforecast frontal boundary could lower readings several degrees and shift resolution, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before the measurement window closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania