Persistent cloud cover and high humidity from the ongoing rainy season in Panama City are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the overnight minimum near the seasonal average of 24–26°C. Frequent afternoon and evening convection sustains elevated dew points near 25°C, reducing the diurnal temperature range while light winds provide minimal mixing of cooler air. Model consensus from agencies like the Met Office points to a low around 26°C, yet variability in overnight cloud thickness and any localized showers could allow brief clearer intervals that drop readings toward 22–24°C. With leading market-implied probabilities for 25°C and 22°C nearly tied, traders reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in tropical boundary-layer conditions rather than a strong consensus on one outcome. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening will refine the resolution threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Panama City on August 28?
22°C 92%
21°C 81%
25°C 49%
24°C 41%
$12,193 Wol.
$12,193 Wol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
81%
22°C
92%
23°C
3%
24°C
41%
25°C
49%
26°C
42%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
22°C 92%
21°C 81%
25°C 49%
24°C 41%
$12,193 Wol.
$12,193 Wol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
81%
22°C
92%
23°C
3%
24°C
41%
25°C
49%
26°C
42%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and high humidity from the ongoing rainy season in Panama City are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the overnight minimum near the seasonal average of 24–26°C. Frequent afternoon and evening convection sustains elevated dew points near 25°C, reducing the diurnal temperature range while light winds provide minimal mixing of cooler air. Model consensus from agencies like the Met Office points to a low around 26°C, yet variability in overnight cloud thickness and any localized showers could allow brief clearer intervals that drop readings toward 22–24°C. With leading market-implied probabilities for 25°C and 22°C nearly tied, traders reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in tropical boundary-layer conditions rather than a strong consensus on one outcome. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening will refine the resolution threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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