Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF show substantial uncertainty in Paris overnight radiative cooling for August 4, with ensemble spreads placing the minimum near 21–22°C amid a warm air mass and limited cloud cover. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, urban heat retention, or Atlantic advection can shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical August minima average near 15°C, yet current conditions favor milder nights, keeping 20°C-or-below probabilities modest while capping upside risk above 23°C. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on August 4?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 4?
21°C 34%
22°C 28%
20°C or below 25%
23°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 4, 2026
20°C or below
25%
21°C
34%
22°C
28%
23°C
14%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
21°C 34%
22°C 28%
20°C or below 25%
23°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 4, 2026
20°C or below
$137 Wol.
25%
21°C
$90 Wol.
34%
22°C
$86 Wol.
28%
23°C
$212 Wol.
14%
24°C
$64 Wol.
7%
25°C
$36 Wol.
2%
26°C
$75 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$71 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$81 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$81 Wol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$59 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF show substantial uncertainty in Paris overnight radiative cooling for August 4, with ensemble spreads placing the minimum near 21–22°C amid a warm air mass and limited cloud cover. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, urban heat retention, or Atlantic advection can shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical August minima average near 15°C, yet current conditions favor milder nights, keeping 20°C-or-below probabilities modest while capping upside risk above 23°C. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$992Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF show substantial uncertainty in Paris overnight radiative cooling for August 4, with ensemble spreads placing the minimum near 21–22°C amid a warm air mass and limited cloud cover. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, urban heat retention, or Atlantic advection can shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical August minima average near 15°C, yet current conditions favor milder nights, keeping 20°C-or-below probabilities modest while capping upside risk above 23°C. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$992Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF show substantial uncertainty in Paris overnight radiative cooling for August 4, with ensemble spreads placing the minimum near 21–22°C amid a warm air mass and limited cloud cover. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, urban heat retention, or Atlantic advection can shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical August minima average near 15°C, yet current conditions favor milder nights, keeping 20°C-or-below probabilities modest while capping upside risk above 23°C. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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