Recent forecast models from Météo France and ECMWF indicate a lingering high-pressure ridge over western Europe, promoting subsidence warming, clear skies, and strong solar insolation that favor daytime highs of 34–36°C in Paris on August 3. This setup extends the early-summer heat episode observed in late July, when urban heat-island effects and low soil moisture amplified temperatures 3–5°C above seasonal normals of 24–28°C. Trader consensus clusters around 35°C (39% implied probability) because ensemble runs show limited variability in maximum temperatures, with only modest chances of 37°C or higher if instability develops. Updated guidance expected within 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as the event nears.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on August 3?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 3?
35°C 39%
36°C 27%
34°C 21%
37°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 3, 2026
32°C or below
2%
33°C
6%
34°C
21%
35°C
39%
36°C
27%
37°C
10%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
35°C 39%
36°C 27%
34°C 21%
37°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 3, 2026
32°C or below
$115 Wol.
2%
33°C
$3 Wol.
6%
34°C
$257 Wol.
21%
35°C
$99 Wol.
39%
36°C
$3 Wol.
27%
37°C
$118 Wol.
10%
38°C
$324 Wol.
3%
39°C
$40 Wol.
1%
40°C
$20 Wol.
1%
41°C
$13 Wol.
<1%
42°C or higher
$13 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from Météo France and ECMWF indicate a lingering high-pressure ridge over western Europe, promoting subsidence warming, clear skies, and strong solar insolation that favor daytime highs of 34–36°C in Paris on August 3. This setup extends the early-summer heat episode observed in late July, when urban heat-island effects and low soil moisture amplified temperatures 3–5°C above seasonal normals of 24–28°C. Trader consensus clusters around 35°C (39% implied probability) because ensemble runs show limited variability in maximum temperatures, with only modest chances of 37°C or higher if instability develops. Updated guidance expected within 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,004Data zakończenia
Aug 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from Météo France and ECMWF indicate a lingering high-pressure ridge over western Europe, promoting subsidence warming, clear skies, and strong solar insolation that favor daytime highs of 34–36°C in Paris on August 3. This setup extends the early-summer heat episode observed in late July, when urban heat-island effects and low soil moisture amplified temperatures 3–5°C above seasonal normals of 24–28°C. Trader consensus clusters around 35°C (39% implied probability) because ensemble runs show limited variability in maximum temperatures, with only modest chances of 37°C or higher if instability develops. Updated guidance expected within 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,004Data zakończenia
Aug 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from Météo France and ECMWF indicate a lingering high-pressure ridge over western Europe, promoting subsidence warming, clear skies, and strong solar insolation that favor daytime highs of 34–36°C in Paris on August 3. This setup extends the early-summer heat episode observed in late July, when urban heat-island effects and low soil moisture amplified temperatures 3–5°C above seasonal normals of 24–28°C. Trader consensus clusters around 35°C (39% implied probability) because ensemble runs show limited variability in maximum temperatures, with only modest chances of 37°C or higher if instability develops. Updated guidance expected within 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as the event nears.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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