Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a likely daily maximum near 32°C in Paris on August 4, driven by continued warm advection from the south under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on variables such as afternoon cloud development, boundary-layer mixing depth, and minor shifts in the 500 hPa ridge position, which can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. With probabilities clustered tightly between 31°C and 33°C, traders are pricing in genuine forecast uncertainty typical of medium-range guidance, where small changes in insolation or local wind patterns can tip the observed high. Updated model runs and Météo-France bulletins over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on August 4?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 4?
32°C 34%
31°C 26%
33°C 23%
34°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 4, 2026
29°C or below
5%
30°C
5%
31°C
26%
32°C
34%
33°C
23%
34°C
9%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 34%
31°C 26%
33°C 23%
34°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 4, 2026
29°C or below
$71 Wol.
5%
30°C
$31 Wol.
5%
31°C
$44 Wol.
26%
32°C
$196 Wol.
34%
33°C
$59 Wol.
23%
34°C
$75 Wol.
9%
35°C
$67 Wol.
2%
36°C
$36 Wol.
1%
37°C
$16 Wol.
<1%
38°C
$16 Wol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$46 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a likely daily maximum near 32°C in Paris on August 4, driven by continued warm advection from the south under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on variables such as afternoon cloud development, boundary-layer mixing depth, and minor shifts in the 500 hPa ridge position, which can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. With probabilities clustered tightly between 31°C and 33°C, traders are pricing in genuine forecast uncertainty typical of medium-range guidance, where small changes in insolation or local wind patterns can tip the observed high. Updated model runs and Météo-France bulletins over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$657Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a likely daily maximum near 32°C in Paris on August 4, driven by continued warm advection from the south under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on variables such as afternoon cloud development, boundary-layer mixing depth, and minor shifts in the 500 hPa ridge position, which can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. With probabilities clustered tightly between 31°C and 33°C, traders are pricing in genuine forecast uncertainty typical of medium-range guidance, where small changes in insolation or local wind patterns can tip the observed high. Updated model runs and Météo-France bulletins over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$657Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a likely daily maximum near 32°C in Paris on August 4, driven by continued warm advection from the south under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on variables such as afternoon cloud development, boundary-layer mixing depth, and minor shifts in the 500 hPa ridge position, which can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. With probabilities clustered tightly between 31°C and 33°C, traders are pricing in genuine forecast uncertainty typical of medium-range guidance, where small changes in insolation or local wind patterns can tip the observed high. Updated model runs and Météo-France bulletins over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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