Current forecasts from MetService indicate a transition from southerly to northwesterly winds on August 2 in Wellington, supporting maximum temperatures near 12–13°C under clearing skies and typical winter radiative cooling. Southerly flow often advects cooler maritime air from higher latitudes, while the shift to northwesterlies can moderate conditions slightly via downslope warming over the North Island ranges. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, consistent with August climatology of 12–14°C highs and no strong high-pressure blocking or frontal passages expected to alter the outcome. Recent model runs have stabilized around this range without significant revisions, reinforcing trader consensus on the leading probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on August 2?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 2?
12°C 44%
13°C 42%
14°C 13%
11°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 2, 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
7%
12°C
44%
13°C
42%
14°C
13%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
<1%
12°C 44%
13°C 42%
14°C 13%
11°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 2, 2026
6°C or below
$248 Wol.
<1%
7°C
$248 Wol.
<1%
8°C
$10 Wol.
2%
9°C
$10 Wol.
2%
10°C
$109 Wol.
2%
11°C
$207 Wol.
7%
12°C
$281 Wol.
44%
13°C
$295 Wol.
42%
14°C
$344 Wol.
13%
15°C
$100 Wol.
2%
16°C or higher
$152 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from MetService indicate a transition from southerly to northwesterly winds on August 2 in Wellington, supporting maximum temperatures near 12–13°C under clearing skies and typical winter radiative cooling. Southerly flow often advects cooler maritime air from higher latitudes, while the shift to northwesterlies can moderate conditions slightly via downslope warming over the North Island ranges. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, consistent with August climatology of 12–14°C highs and no strong high-pressure blocking or frontal passages expected to alter the outcome. Recent model runs have stabilized around this range without significant revisions, reinforcing trader consensus on the leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,006Data zakończenia
Aug 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from MetService indicate a transition from southerly to northwesterly winds on August 2 in Wellington, supporting maximum temperatures near 12–13°C under clearing skies and typical winter radiative cooling. Southerly flow often advects cooler maritime air from higher latitudes, while the shift to northwesterlies can moderate conditions slightly via downslope warming over the North Island ranges. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, consistent with August climatology of 12–14°C highs and no strong high-pressure blocking or frontal passages expected to alter the outcome. Recent model runs have stabilized around this range without significant revisions, reinforcing trader consensus on the leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,006Data zakończenia
Aug 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from MetService indicate a transition from southerly to northwesterly winds on August 2 in Wellington, supporting maximum temperatures near 12–13°C under clearing skies and typical winter radiative cooling. Southerly flow often advects cooler maritime air from higher latitudes, while the shift to northwesterlies can moderate conditions slightly via downslope warming over the North Island ranges. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values, consistent with August climatology of 12–14°C highs and no strong high-pressure blocking or frontal passages expected to alter the outcome. Recent model runs have stabilized around this range without significant revisions, reinforcing trader consensus on the leading probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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