Latest numerical weather prediction models from major centers show Moscow under a ridge of high pressure on August 2, 2026, with southwesterly flow advecting warmer air masses and minimal cloud cover, supporting maximum temperatures of 29–30 °C. Ensemble guidance places the most likely peak in this range, consistent with observed warming trends through late July that have already lifted daytime maxima several degrees above seasonal normals. While some members allow brief excursions to 31 °C if subsidence strengthens further, the probability of reaching 32 °C or higher remains low given current steering patterns and modest soil moisture. Updated short-range runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum and determine whether traders continue to favor the 29–30 °C outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on August 2?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 2?
30°C 39%
29°C 29%
28°C 17%
31°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 2, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
6%
27°C
7%
28°C
17%
29°C
29%
30°C
39%
31°C
12%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
7%
30°C 39%
29°C 29%
28°C 17%
31°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 2, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Wol.
1%
24°C
$10 Wol.
1%
25°C
$10 Wol.
7%
26°C
$30 Wol.
6%
27°C
$67 Wol.
7%
28°C
$10 Wol.
17%
29°C
$19 Wol.
29%
30°C
$141 Wol.
39%
31°C
$0 Wol.
12%
32°C
$7 Wol.
4%
33°C or higher
$20 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from major centers show Moscow under a ridge of high pressure on August 2, 2026, with southwesterly flow advecting warmer air masses and minimal cloud cover, supporting maximum temperatures of 29–30 °C. Ensemble guidance places the most likely peak in this range, consistent with observed warming trends through late July that have already lifted daytime maxima several degrees above seasonal normals. While some members allow brief excursions to 31 °C if subsidence strengthens further, the probability of reaching 32 °C or higher remains low given current steering patterns and modest soil moisture. Updated short-range runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum and determine whether traders continue to favor the 29–30 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$314Data zakończenia
Aug 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from major centers show Moscow under a ridge of high pressure on August 2, 2026, with southwesterly flow advecting warmer air masses and minimal cloud cover, supporting maximum temperatures of 29–30 °C. Ensemble guidance places the most likely peak in this range, consistent with observed warming trends through late July that have already lifted daytime maxima several degrees above seasonal normals. While some members allow brief excursions to 31 °C if subsidence strengthens further, the probability of reaching 32 °C or higher remains low given current steering patterns and modest soil moisture. Updated short-range runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum and determine whether traders continue to favor the 29–30 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$314Data zakończenia
Aug 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from major centers show Moscow under a ridge of high pressure on August 2, 2026, with southwesterly flow advecting warmer air masses and minimal cloud cover, supporting maximum temperatures of 29–30 °C. Ensemble guidance places the most likely peak in this range, consistent with observed warming trends through late July that have already lifted daytime maxima several degrees above seasonal normals. While some members allow brief excursions to 31 °C if subsidence strengthens further, the probability of reaching 32 °C or higher remains low given current steering patterns and modest soil moisture. Updated short-range runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum and determine whether traders continue to favor the 29–30 °C outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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