Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble models indicate a daytime maximum near 21–22 °C in Helsinki on August 4 under light southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover. This aligns with early-August climatology showing mean highs of 19–20 °C at Helsinki-Vantaa, with the market-implied 45 % probability on 22 °C reflecting modest warm advection from the Baltic Sea and limited daytime heating. Updated model runs show no significant synoptic shift that would push readings to 23 °C or higher or drop them below 21 °C, keeping tail outcomes at single-digit odds. Official hourly observations at the airport station on August 4 will determine resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Helsinki on August 4?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on August 4?
22°C 45%
21°C 25%
23°C 19%
20°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 4, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
9%
21°C
25%
22°C
45%
23°C
19%
24°C
7%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 45%
21°C 25%
23°C 19%
20°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 4, 2026
18°C or below
$55 Wol.
1%
19°C
$1 Wol.
3%
20°C
$0 Wol.
9%
21°C
$0 Wol.
25%
22°C
$332 Wol.
45%
23°C
$11 Wol.
19%
24°C
$68 Wol.
7%
25°C
$35 Wol.
4%
26°C
$31 Wol.
2%
27°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$20 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble models indicate a daytime maximum near 21–22 °C in Helsinki on August 4 under light southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover. This aligns with early-August climatology showing mean highs of 19–20 °C at Helsinki-Vantaa, with the market-implied 45 % probability on 22 °C reflecting modest warm advection from the Baltic Sea and limited daytime heating. Updated model runs show no significant synoptic shift that would push readings to 23 °C or higher or drop them below 21 °C, keeping tail outcomes at single-digit odds. Official hourly observations at the airport station on August 4 will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$554Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble models indicate a daytime maximum near 21–22 °C in Helsinki on August 4 under light southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover. This aligns with early-August climatology showing mean highs of 19–20 °C at Helsinki-Vantaa, with the market-implied 45 % probability on 22 °C reflecting modest warm advection from the Baltic Sea and limited daytime heating. Updated model runs show no significant synoptic shift that would push readings to 23 °C or higher or drop them below 21 °C, keeping tail outcomes at single-digit odds. Official hourly observations at the airport station on August 4 will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$554Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble models indicate a daytime maximum near 21–22 °C in Helsinki on August 4 under light southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover. This aligns with early-August climatology showing mean highs of 19–20 °C at Helsinki-Vantaa, with the market-implied 45 % probability on 22 °C reflecting modest warm advection from the Baltic Sea and limited daytime heating. Updated model runs show no significant synoptic shift that would push readings to 23 °C or higher or drop them below 21 °C, keeping tail outcomes at single-digit odds. Official hourly observations at the airport station on August 4 will determine resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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