Trader consensus centers on a 32–34°C peak for Chengdu on August 4, reflecting ensemble forecast agreement amid subtropical monsoon conditions. Persistent high humidity and scattered convection typical of the East Asian summer monsoon limit extreme heating, while basin topography and urban heat effects support afternoon maxima near the long-term August average of 31–33°C. Recent model runs show modest spread tied to cloud-cover timing and any localized showers, keeping probabilities for 35°C+ or sub-32°C outcomes low. Updated numerical guidance and observational trends from regional stations will refine these ranges as the date nears.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 4?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 4?
33°C 33%
34°C 25%
32°C 20%
35°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 4, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
8%
32°C
20%
33°C
33%
34°C
25%
35°C
14%
36°C or higher
9%
33°C 33%
34°C 25%
32°C 20%
35°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 4, 2026
26°C or below
$84 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$70 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$10 Wol.
1%
29°C
$20 Wol.
4%
30°C
$101 Wol.
4%
31°C
$68 Wol.
8%
32°C
$72 Wol.
20%
33°C
$344 Wol.
33%
34°C
$111 Wol.
25%
35°C
$157 Wol.
14%
36°C or higher
$273 Wol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on a 32–34°C peak for Chengdu on August 4, reflecting ensemble forecast agreement amid subtropical monsoon conditions. Persistent high humidity and scattered convection typical of the East Asian summer monsoon limit extreme heating, while basin topography and urban heat effects support afternoon maxima near the long-term August average of 31–33°C. Recent model runs show modest spread tied to cloud-cover timing and any localized showers, keeping probabilities for 35°C+ or sub-32°C outcomes low. Updated numerical guidance and observational trends from regional stations will refine these ranges as the date nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,309Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on a 32–34°C peak for Chengdu on August 4, reflecting ensemble forecast agreement amid subtropical monsoon conditions. Persistent high humidity and scattered convection typical of the East Asian summer monsoon limit extreme heating, while basin topography and urban heat effects support afternoon maxima near the long-term August average of 31–33°C. Recent model runs show modest spread tied to cloud-cover timing and any localized showers, keeping probabilities for 35°C+ or sub-32°C outcomes low. Updated numerical guidance and observational trends from regional stations will refine these ranges as the date nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,309Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on a 32–34°C peak for Chengdu on August 4, reflecting ensemble forecast agreement amid subtropical monsoon conditions. Persistent high humidity and scattered convection typical of the East Asian summer monsoon limit extreme heating, while basin topography and urban heat effects support afternoon maxima near the long-term August average of 31–33°C. Recent model runs show modest spread tied to cloud-cover timing and any localized showers, keeping probabilities for 35°C+ or sub-32°C outcomes low. Updated numerical guidance and observational trends from regional stations will refine these ranges as the date nears.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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