Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to moderating influences from regional moisture and possible cloud cover or scattered showers tempering peak readings in Chongqing on August 4. Historical August climatology shows average daily maxima near 32–34°C, yet the market's concentration around 30–32°C (with over 80% implied probability below 33°C) reflects trader emphasis on short-range variability in steering patterns and monsoon dynamics that can suppress afternoon heating. Key resolution factors include precise maximum observations at official stations, where urban heat effects and timing of any convective activity introduce meaningful uncertainty even 48 hours out. Updated guidance ahead of the date will likely shift odds as forecast confidence improves.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 4?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 4?
31°C 34%
30°C 24%
32°C 23%
29°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 4, 2026
27°C or below
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
9%
30°C
24%
31°C
34%
32°C
23%
33°C
6%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 34%
30°C 24%
32°C 23%
29°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 4, 2026
27°C or below
$133 Wol.
4%
28°C
$84 Wol.
4%
29°C
$81 Wol.
9%
30°C
$151 Wol.
24%
31°C
$181 Wol.
34%
32°C
$92 Wol.
23%
33°C
$175 Wol.
6%
34°C
$133 Wol.
4%
35°C
$707 Wol.
1%
36°C
$52 Wol.
1%
37°C or higher
$220 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to moderating influences from regional moisture and possible cloud cover or scattered showers tempering peak readings in Chongqing on August 4. Historical August climatology shows average daily maxima near 32–34°C, yet the market's concentration around 30–32°C (with over 80% implied probability below 33°C) reflects trader emphasis on short-range variability in steering patterns and monsoon dynamics that can suppress afternoon heating. Key resolution factors include precise maximum observations at official stations, where urban heat effects and timing of any convective activity introduce meaningful uncertainty even 48 hours out. Updated guidance ahead of the date will likely shift odds as forecast confidence improves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,009Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to moderating influences from regional moisture and possible cloud cover or scattered showers tempering peak readings in Chongqing on August 4. Historical August climatology shows average daily maxima near 32–34°C, yet the market's concentration around 30–32°C (with over 80% implied probability below 33°C) reflects trader emphasis on short-range variability in steering patterns and monsoon dynamics that can suppress afternoon heating. Key resolution factors include precise maximum observations at official stations, where urban heat effects and timing of any convective activity introduce meaningful uncertainty even 48 hours out. Updated guidance ahead of the date will likely shift odds as forecast confidence improves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,009Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to moderating influences from regional moisture and possible cloud cover or scattered showers tempering peak readings in Chongqing on August 4. Historical August climatology shows average daily maxima near 32–34°C, yet the market's concentration around 30–32°C (with over 80% implied probability below 33°C) reflects trader emphasis on short-range variability in steering patterns and monsoon dynamics that can suppress afternoon heating. Key resolution factors include precise maximum observations at official stations, where urban heat effects and timing of any convective activity introduce meaningful uncertainty even 48 hours out. Updated guidance ahead of the date will likely shift odds as forecast confidence improves.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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