Recent short-range forecasts from Météo-France indicate Paris remains under a heatwave pattern through July 9, with daytime highs near 35°C and overnight lows likely holding around 20°C amid persistent warm advection and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the 19–22°C range over typical early-July climatological values of 14–17°C, explaining elevated market-implied probabilities clustered between 18°C and 25°C. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty from potential northwest flow shifts or clearer nights that could allow brief dips toward 18°C, while stronger high-pressure persistence would keep readings above 20°C. Traders are weighting these variables against historical analogs of heatwave minima, with fresh ensemble updates from European and global models expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on July 9?
Lowest temperature in Paris on July 9?
21°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$25,370 Wol.
$25,370 Wol.
Jul 9, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$25,370 Wol.
$25,370 Wol.
Jul 9, 2026
18°C or below
$1,223 Wol.
No
19°C
$1,144 Wol.
No
20°C
$5,656 Wol.
No
21°C
$3,498 Wol.
Yes
22°C
$2,950 Wol.
No
23°C
$1,180 Wol.
No
24°C
$1,999 Wol.
No
25°C
$2,339 Wol.
No
26°C
$1,427 Wol.
No
27°C
$2,117 Wol.
No
28°C or higher
$1,837 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from Météo-France indicate Paris remains under a heatwave pattern through July 9, with daytime highs near 35°C and overnight lows likely holding around 20°C amid persistent warm advection and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the 19–22°C range over typical early-July climatological values of 14–17°C, explaining elevated market-implied probabilities clustered between 18°C and 25°C. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty from potential northwest flow shifts or clearer nights that could allow brief dips toward 18°C, while stronger high-pressure persistence would keep readings above 20°C. Traders are weighting these variables against historical analogs of heatwave minima, with fresh ensemble updates from European and global models expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$25,370Data zakończenia
Jul 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from Météo-France indicate Paris remains under a heatwave pattern through July 9, with daytime highs near 35°C and overnight lows likely holding around 20°C amid persistent warm advection and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the 19–22°C range over typical early-July climatological values of 14–17°C, explaining elevated market-implied probabilities clustered between 18°C and 25°C. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty from potential northwest flow shifts or clearer nights that could allow brief dips toward 18°C, while stronger high-pressure persistence would keep readings above 20°C. Traders are weighting these variables against historical analogs of heatwave minima, with fresh ensemble updates from European and global models expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$25,370Data zakończenia
Jul 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent short-range forecasts from Météo-France indicate Paris remains under a heatwave pattern through July 9, with daytime highs near 35°C and overnight lows likely holding around 20°C amid persistent warm advection and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the 19–22°C range over typical early-July climatological values of 14–17°C, explaining elevated market-implied probabilities clustered between 18°C and 25°C. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty from potential northwest flow shifts or clearer nights that could allow brief dips toward 18°C, while stronger high-pressure persistence would keep readings above 20°C. Traders are weighting these variables against historical analogs of heatwave minima, with fresh ensemble updates from European and global models expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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