Forecast models for Shenzhen on September 23 show considerable spread in overnight minimum temperatures due to variable cloud cover, intermittent showers, and limited radiative cooling under subtropical humidity levels near 70-80%. Recent shifts from clear, hot conditions to increased cloudiness and scattered thunderstorms have introduced uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and diurnal temperature ranges, with some guidance projecting lows near 24-26°C while others allow for greater nocturnal cooling toward the low 20s. These factors explain the near-even trader consensus between the ≤22°C and ≥32°C outcomes, as small changes in precipitation timing or wind patterns could tip the daily minimum. Updated numerical weather prediction runs from regional agencies will likely refine the range ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 23?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 23?
22°C or below 100%
32°C or higher 98%
25°C 40%
26°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 23, 2026
22°C or below
100%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
40%
26°C
40%
27°C
23%
28°C
39%
29°C
8%
30°C
39%
31°C
39%
32°C or higher
98%
22°C or below 100%
32°C or higher 98%
25°C 40%
26°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 23, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Wol.
100%
23°C
$0 Wol.
39%
24°C
$0 Wol.
39%
25°C
$0 Wol.
40%
26°C
$0 Wol.
40%
27°C
$0 Wol.
23%
28°C
$0 Wol.
39%
29°C
$0 Wol.
8%
30°C
$0 Wol.
39%
31°C
$0 Wol.
39%
32°C or higher
$0 Wol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Shenzhen on September 23 show considerable spread in overnight minimum temperatures due to variable cloud cover, intermittent showers, and limited radiative cooling under subtropical humidity levels near 70-80%. Recent shifts from clear, hot conditions to increased cloudiness and scattered thunderstorms have introduced uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and diurnal temperature ranges, with some guidance projecting lows near 24-26°C while others allow for greater nocturnal cooling toward the low 20s. These factors explain the near-even trader consensus between the ≤22°C and ≥32°C outcomes, as small changes in precipitation timing or wind patterns could tip the daily minimum. Updated numerical weather prediction runs from regional agencies will likely refine the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Shenzhen on September 23 show considerable spread in overnight minimum temperatures due to variable cloud cover, intermittent showers, and limited radiative cooling under subtropical humidity levels near 70-80%. Recent shifts from clear, hot conditions to increased cloudiness and scattered thunderstorms have introduced uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and diurnal temperature ranges, with some guidance projecting lows near 24-26°C while others allow for greater nocturnal cooling toward the low 20s. These factors explain the near-even trader consensus between the ≤22°C and ≥32°C outcomes, as small changes in precipitation timing or wind patterns could tip the daily minimum. Updated numerical weather prediction runs from regional agencies will likely refine the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Shenzhen on September 23 show considerable spread in overnight minimum temperatures due to variable cloud cover, intermittent showers, and limited radiative cooling under subtropical humidity levels near 70-80%. Recent shifts from clear, hot conditions to increased cloudiness and scattered thunderstorms have introduced uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and diurnal temperature ranges, with some guidance projecting lows near 24-26°C while others allow for greater nocturnal cooling toward the low 20s. These factors explain the near-even trader consensus between the ≤22°C and ≥32°C outcomes, as small changes in precipitation timing or wind patterns could tip the daily minimum. Updated numerical weather prediction runs from regional agencies will likely refine the range ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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