Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Shenzhen's overnight low on September 4 will likely settle between 24–25 °C amid a pattern of lingering showers or thunderstorms transitioning to partly cloudy conditions. Persistent northwest winds, elevated humidity near 75–85 %, and residual moisture from earlier rainfall are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while cloud cover and light precipitation moderate temperature drops compared with drier nights. This aligns with typical early-September climatology in the subtropical region, where average lows hover near 24 °C. The tight contest between 24 °C and 25 °C in trader pricing reflects minor model differences in exact rainfall timing and wind strength, which can shift the minimum by 1 °C. Lower outcomes such as 20 °C or below remain improbable given the warm boundary-layer air mass, whereas highs near 28–30 °C and any sustained rain further constrain extreme overnight cooling. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening of September 3 will provide the final inputs for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 4?
20°C or below 77%
30°C or higher 75%
22°C 73%
27°C 73%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
20°C or below
77%
21°C
72%
22°C
73%
23°C
72%
24°C
51%
25°C
50%
26°C
72%
27°C
73%
28°C
73%
29°C
13%
30°C or higher
75%
20°C or below 77%
30°C or higher 75%
22°C 73%
27°C 73%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Wol.
77%
21°C
$0 Wol.
72%
22°C
$0 Wol.
73%
23°C
$0 Wol.
72%
24°C
$0 Wol.
51%
25°C
$0 Wol.
50%
26°C
$0 Wol.
72%
27°C
$0 Wol.
73%
28°C
$0 Wol.
73%
29°C
$0 Wol.
13%
30°C or higher
$0 Wol.
75%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Shenzhen's overnight low on September 4 will likely settle between 24–25 °C amid a pattern of lingering showers or thunderstorms transitioning to partly cloudy conditions. Persistent northwest winds, elevated humidity near 75–85 %, and residual moisture from earlier rainfall are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while cloud cover and light precipitation moderate temperature drops compared with drier nights. This aligns with typical early-September climatology in the subtropical region, where average lows hover near 24 °C. The tight contest between 24 °C and 25 °C in trader pricing reflects minor model differences in exact rainfall timing and wind strength, which can shift the minimum by 1 °C. Lower outcomes such as 20 °C or below remain improbable given the warm boundary-layer air mass, whereas highs near 28–30 °C and any sustained rain further constrain extreme overnight cooling. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening of September 3 will provide the final inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Shenzhen's overnight low on September 4 will likely settle between 24–25 °C amid a pattern of lingering showers or thunderstorms transitioning to partly cloudy conditions. Persistent northwest winds, elevated humidity near 75–85 %, and residual moisture from earlier rainfall are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while cloud cover and light precipitation moderate temperature drops compared with drier nights. This aligns with typical early-September climatology in the subtropical region, where average lows hover near 24 °C. The tight contest between 24 °C and 25 °C in trader pricing reflects minor model differences in exact rainfall timing and wind strength, which can shift the minimum by 1 °C. Lower outcomes such as 20 °C or below remain improbable given the warm boundary-layer air mass, whereas highs near 28–30 °C and any sustained rain further constrain extreme overnight cooling. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening of September 3 will provide the final inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Shenzhen's overnight low on September 4 will likely settle between 24–25 °C amid a pattern of lingering showers or thunderstorms transitioning to partly cloudy conditions. Persistent northwest winds, elevated humidity near 75–85 %, and residual moisture from earlier rainfall are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while cloud cover and light precipitation moderate temperature drops compared with drier nights. This aligns with typical early-September climatology in the subtropical region, where average lows hover near 24 °C. The tight contest between 24 °C and 25 °C in trader pricing reflects minor model differences in exact rainfall timing and wind strength, which can shift the minimum by 1 °C. Lower outcomes such as 20 °C or below remain improbable given the warm boundary-layer air mass, whereas highs near 28–30 °C and any sustained rain further constrain extreme overnight cooling. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening of September 3 will provide the final inputs for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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