Current weather model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to a September 3 high near 30°C in Shanghai, driven by northeasterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and 70-80% thunderstorm chances that limit solar heating in the city's humid subtropical climate. These conditions align with early September baselines around 29-31°C, where moisture from lingering monsoon influences or weak frontal boundaries often moderates peaks. Trader emphasis on 30°C and 31°C reflects this tight forecast spread, though revisions from updated runs or unexpected clearing could shift outcomes toward adjacent bins before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 3?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 3?
31°C 43%
30°C 39%
29°C 15%
28°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
5%
29°C
15%
30°C
39%
31°C
43%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 43%
30°C 39%
29°C 15%
28°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
$897 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$564 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$377 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$704 Wol.
5%
29°C
$1,089 Wol.
15%
30°C
$1,272 Wol.
39%
31°C
$2,206 Wol.
43%
32°C
$841 Wol.
4%
33°C
$372 Wol.
1%
34°C
$308 Wol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$253 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current weather model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to a September 3 high near 30°C in Shanghai, driven by northeasterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and 70-80% thunderstorm chances that limit solar heating in the city's humid subtropical climate. These conditions align with early September baselines around 29-31°C, where moisture from lingering monsoon influences or weak frontal boundaries often moderates peaks. Trader emphasis on 30°C and 31°C reflects this tight forecast spread, though revisions from updated runs or unexpected clearing could shift outcomes toward adjacent bins before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,883Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current weather model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to a September 3 high near 30°C in Shanghai, driven by northeasterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and 70-80% thunderstorm chances that limit solar heating in the city's humid subtropical climate. These conditions align with early September baselines around 29-31°C, where moisture from lingering monsoon influences or weak frontal boundaries often moderates peaks. Trader emphasis on 30°C and 31°C reflects this tight forecast spread, though revisions from updated runs or unexpected clearing could shift outcomes toward adjacent bins before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8,883Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current weather model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to a September 3 high near 30°C in Shanghai, driven by northeasterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and 70-80% thunderstorm chances that limit solar heating in the city's humid subtropical climate. These conditions align with early September baselines around 29-31°C, where moisture from lingering monsoon influences or weak frontal boundaries often moderates peaks. Trader emphasis on 30°C and 31°C reflects this tight forecast spread, though revisions from updated runs or unexpected clearing could shift outcomes toward adjacent bins before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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