**Trader sentiment for Mexico City’s September 3 minimum temperature centers on the narrow 13–14 °C range, where market-implied odds cluster tightly around 50 %.** Recent forecasts from multiple models converged on overnight lows of 13–14 °C under mostly cloudy skies, light winds, and high humidity that limited radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of the late rainy season at 2,240 m elevation, produced modest temperature drops after sunset rather than the sharper declines seen under clear, dry nights. Differentiation between 13 °C and 14 °C hinges on small variations in cloud thickness, dew-point depression, and the precise timing of any showers, all of which affect how low the temperature fell before dawn. Official station data and reanalysis products will ultimately resolve the market once quality-controlled observations are released.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Mexico City on September 3?
9°C 97%
8°C or below 87%
13°C 47%
11°C 7%
$814 Wol.
$814 Wol.
8°C or below
87%
9°C
97%
10°C
1%
11°C
7%
12°C
2%
13°C
47%
14°C
55%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
9°C 97%
8°C or below 87%
13°C 47%
11°C 7%
$814 Wol.
$814 Wol.
8°C or below
87%
9°C
97%
10°C
1%
11°C
7%
12°C
2%
13°C
47%
14°C
55%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Mexico City’s September 3 minimum temperature centers on the narrow 13–14 °C range, where market-implied odds cluster tightly around 50 %.** Recent forecasts from multiple models converged on overnight lows of 13–14 °C under mostly cloudy skies, light winds, and high humidity that limited radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of the late rainy season at 2,240 m elevation, produced modest temperature drops after sunset rather than the sharper declines seen under clear, dry nights. Differentiation between 13 °C and 14 °C hinges on small variations in cloud thickness, dew-point depression, and the precise timing of any showers, all of which affect how low the temperature fell before dawn. Official station data and reanalysis products will ultimately resolve the market once quality-controlled observations are released.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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