**Recent cold front passage and clearing skies are positioning mid-20s °C highs as the leading outcomes for São Paulo's maximum temperature on September 3.** A frontal system brought rain and cooler air on September 1 (highs near 21°C) and September 2 (around 19–20°C), but models now show stabilization behind the front with mostly sunny to clear conditions on the 3rd. This setup favors daytime heating under light winds and low humidity, supporting forecast highs clustered around 25–28°C across sources such as Met Office (26°C), Worldmeteo (28°C), and others (25–27°C). September climatology in São Paulo shows early-month averages near 21–23°C, so the post-frontal rebound aligns with seasonal norms while avoiding extremes. Market-implied probabilities heavily favor 26–27°C because ensemble guidance converges on dry, stable conditions without significant model spread or incoming disturbances that could suppress temperatures. Resolution depends on official observations (typically from Congonhas or official INMET stations), and any last-minute cloud cover or wind shifts could nudge the outcome within the narrow 25–28°C band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 3?
27°C 41%
26°C 30%
28°C 17%
25°C 7%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
7%
26°C
30%
27°C
41%
28°C
17%
29°C
5%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 41%
26°C 30%
28°C 17%
25°C 7%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
7%
26°C
30%
27°C
41%
28°C
17%
29°C
5%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 1, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Recent cold front passage and clearing skies are positioning mid-20s °C highs as the leading outcomes for São Paulo's maximum temperature on September 3.** A frontal system brought rain and cooler air on September 1 (highs near 21°C) and September 2 (around 19–20°C), but models now show stabilization behind the front with mostly sunny to clear conditions on the 3rd. This setup favors daytime heating under light winds and low humidity, supporting forecast highs clustered around 25–28°C across sources such as Met Office (26°C), Worldmeteo (28°C), and others (25–27°C). September climatology in São Paulo shows early-month averages near 21–23°C, so the post-frontal rebound aligns with seasonal norms while avoiding extremes. Market-implied probabilities heavily favor 26–27°C because ensemble guidance converges on dry, stable conditions without significant model spread or incoming disturbances that could suppress temperatures. Resolution depends on official observations (typically from Congonhas or official INMET stations), and any last-minute cloud cover or wind shifts could nudge the outcome within the narrow 25–28°C band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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