Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers possible on July 3, supporting overnight lows near the seasonal normal of 21–23°C at observation sites like Haneda. These patterns arise from typical early-July atmospheric stability, elevated humidity, and limited clear-sky radiative cooling, which constrain minimum temperatures more than daytime highs. Ensemble models show modest spread around these values, with slight variations in cloud cover or shower timing capable of shifting the recorded low by 1–2°C. Trader consensus clustering around 20–22°C reflects this uncertainty in short-range guidance, consistent with historical July minima averaging near 22°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date will refine probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tokyo on July 3?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on July 3?
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$30,513 Wol.
$30,513 Wol.
Jul 3, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$30,513 Wol.
$30,513 Wol.
Jul 3, 2026
16°C or below
$1,320 Wol.
No
17°C
$1,593 Wol.
No
18°C
$1,069 Wol.
No
19°C
$792 Wol.
No
20°C
$1,625 Wol.
No
21°C
$4,228 Wol.
Yes
22°C
$5,145 Wol.
No
23°C
$4,213 Wol.
No
24°C
$3,623 Wol.
No
25°C
$3,467 Wol.
No
26°C or higher
$3,438 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers possible on July 3, supporting overnight lows near the seasonal normal of 21–23°C at observation sites like Haneda. These patterns arise from typical early-July atmospheric stability, elevated humidity, and limited clear-sky radiative cooling, which constrain minimum temperatures more than daytime highs. Ensemble models show modest spread around these values, with slight variations in cloud cover or shower timing capable of shifting the recorded low by 1–2°C. Trader consensus clustering around 20–22°C reflects this uncertainty in short-range guidance, consistent with historical July minima averaging near 22°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date will refine probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$30,513Data zakończenia
Jul 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers possible on July 3, supporting overnight lows near the seasonal normal of 21–23°C at observation sites like Haneda. These patterns arise from typical early-July atmospheric stability, elevated humidity, and limited clear-sky radiative cooling, which constrain minimum temperatures more than daytime highs. Ensemble models show modest spread around these values, with slight variations in cloud cover or shower timing capable of shifting the recorded low by 1–2°C. Trader consensus clustering around 20–22°C reflects this uncertainty in short-range guidance, consistent with historical July minima averaging near 22°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date will refine probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$30,513Data zakończenia
Jul 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers possible on July 3, supporting overnight lows near the seasonal normal of 21–23°C at observation sites like Haneda. These patterns arise from typical early-July atmospheric stability, elevated humidity, and limited clear-sky radiative cooling, which constrain minimum temperatures more than daytime highs. Ensemble models show modest spread around these values, with slight variations in cloud cover or shower timing capable of shifting the recorded low by 1–2°C. Trader consensus clustering around 20–22°C reflects this uncertainty in short-range guidance, consistent with historical July minima averaging near 22°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date will refine probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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