Japan Meteorological Agency observations from Tokyo's central station confirm the daily minimum temperature reached 17°C around 5 a.m. local time on May 4, 2026, with subsequent hourly readings climbing amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds that limited radiative cooling. This locks in near-certain trader consensus, as reflected in the 100% implied probability, supported by JMA's short-range mesoscale models forecasting exactly this mild low under a stable high-pressure ridge and warmer-than-average air mass over the Kanto Plain—elevated by urban heat island effects. Early May historical lows typically range 14–16°C, but cloud cover overnight suppressed further drops. JMA's daily summary, due later today, offers final verification; only an improbable data correction or unrecorded microclimate dip could shift it.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tokyo on May 4?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 4?
17°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$22,170 Wol.
$22,170 Wol.
May 4, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$22,170 Wol.
$22,170 Wol.
May 4, 2026
14°C or below
$4,189 Wol.
No
15°C
$2,573 Wol.
No
16°C
$2,297 Wol.
No
17°C
$2,904 Wol.
Yes
18°C
$1,411 Wol.
No
19°C
$5,659 Wol.
No
20°C
$562 Wol.
No
21°C
$415 Wol.
No
22°C
$445 Wol.
No
23°C
$1,419 Wol.
No
24°C or higher
$295 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency observations from Tokyo's central station confirm the daily minimum temperature reached 17°C around 5 a.m. local time on May 4, 2026, with subsequent hourly readings climbing amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds that limited radiative cooling. This locks in near-certain trader consensus, as reflected in the 100% implied probability, supported by JMA's short-range mesoscale models forecasting exactly this mild low under a stable high-pressure ridge and warmer-than-average air mass over the Kanto Plain—elevated by urban heat island effects. Early May historical lows typically range 14–16°C, but cloud cover overnight suppressed further drops. JMA's daily summary, due later today, offers final verification; only an improbable data correction or unrecorded microclimate dip could shift it.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$22,170Data zakończenia
May 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency observations from Tokyo's central station confirm the daily minimum temperature reached 17°C around 5 a.m. local time on May 4, 2026, with subsequent hourly readings climbing amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds that limited radiative cooling. This locks in near-certain trader consensus, as reflected in the 100% implied probability, supported by JMA's short-range mesoscale models forecasting exactly this mild low under a stable high-pressure ridge and warmer-than-average air mass over the Kanto Plain—elevated by urban heat island effects. Early May historical lows typically range 14–16°C, but cloud cover overnight suppressed further drops. JMA's daily summary, due later today, offers final verification; only an improbable data correction or unrecorded microclimate dip could shift it.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$22,170Data zakończenia
May 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Japan Meteorological Agency observations from Tokyo's central station confirm the daily minimum temperature reached 17°C around 5 a.m. local time on May 4, 2026, with subsequent hourly readings climbing amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds that limited radiative cooling. This locks in near-certain trader consensus, as reflected in the 100% implied probability, supported by JMA's short-range mesoscale models forecasting exactly this mild low under a stable high-pressure ridge and warmer-than-average air mass over the Kanto Plain—elevated by urban heat island effects. Early May historical lows typically range 14–16°C, but cloud cover overnight suppressed further drops. JMA's daily summary, due later today, offers final verification; only an improbable data correction or unrecorded microclimate dip could shift it.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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