Recent official forecasts from MetService and supporting models project a daily minimum near 11°C for Wellington on August 26, driven by northwesterly flow that typically moderates overnight cooling while allowing scattered showers to develop. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs indicating potential for clearer skies and slightly lower readings near 10°C or a brief dip toward 9°C if winds ease overnight; conversely, stronger gusts or cloud cover could hold the minimum at 12°C or above. This range aligns with late-August climatology, where minimums average 8–11°C, yet the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 8–12°C reflects ongoing model uncertainty and the limited time until resolution. Updated guidance from the next model runs and MetService briefings will likely narrow the distribution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Wellington on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 26?
8°C or below 69%
18°C or higher 53%
10°C 50%
14°C 50%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
8°C or below
69%
9°C
19%
10°C
50%
11°C
28%
12°C
31%
13°C
27%
14°C
50%
15°C
8%
16°C
2%
17°C
8%
18°C or higher
53%
8°C or below 69%
18°C or higher 53%
10°C 50%
14°C 50%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
8°C or below
$0 Wol.
69%
9°C
$0 Wol.
19%
10°C
$0 Wol.
50%
11°C
$0 Wol.
28%
12°C
$0 Wol.
31%
13°C
$0 Wol.
27%
14°C
$0 Wol.
50%
15°C
$0 Wol.
8%
16°C
$0 Wol.
2%
17°C
$0 Wol.
8%
18°C or higher
$0 Wol.
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and supporting models project a daily minimum near 11°C for Wellington on August 26, driven by northwesterly flow that typically moderates overnight cooling while allowing scattered showers to develop. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs indicating potential for clearer skies and slightly lower readings near 10°C or a brief dip toward 9°C if winds ease overnight; conversely, stronger gusts or cloud cover could hold the minimum at 12°C or above. This range aligns with late-August climatology, where minimums average 8–11°C, yet the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 8–12°C reflects ongoing model uncertainty and the limited time until resolution. Updated guidance from the next model runs and MetService briefings will likely narrow the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and supporting models project a daily minimum near 11°C for Wellington on August 26, driven by northwesterly flow that typically moderates overnight cooling while allowing scattered showers to develop. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs indicating potential for clearer skies and slightly lower readings near 10°C or a brief dip toward 9°C if winds ease overnight; conversely, stronger gusts or cloud cover could hold the minimum at 12°C or above. This range aligns with late-August climatology, where minimums average 8–11°C, yet the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 8–12°C reflects ongoing model uncertainty and the limited time until resolution. Updated guidance from the next model runs and MetService briefings will likely narrow the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from MetService and supporting models project a daily minimum near 11°C for Wellington on August 26, driven by northwesterly flow that typically moderates overnight cooling while allowing scattered showers to develop. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs indicating potential for clearer skies and slightly lower readings near 10°C or a brief dip toward 9°C if winds ease overnight; conversely, stronger gusts or cloud cover could hold the minimum at 12°C or above. This range aligns with late-August climatology, where minimums average 8–11°C, yet the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 8–12°C reflects ongoing model uncertainty and the limited time until resolution. Updated guidance from the next model runs and MetService briefings will likely narrow the distribution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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