Eduardo Riedel holds a commanding lead in the Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial race as the incumbent seeking re-election in October 2026, backed by consistent polling majorities that have translated into the market's 94.5% consensus. Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data data from early August, show him at 44% in first-round scenarios and 54% against main challenger Fábio Trad in runoffs, reflecting broad voter support tied to his record on agriculture, infrastructure, and state finances since taking office in 2023. Party switch to PP has aligned him with key national figures without disrupting local coalitions. Potential shifts could stem from late economic pressures in the agribusiness sector, unexpected opposition consolidation, or turnout surprises among undecided voters, though current indicators show limited momentum for alternatives.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoEduardo Riedel 93%
Delcidio Amaral 4%
Economista Renato Gomes 1.5%
João Henrique Catan 1.0%

Eduardo Riedel
93%

Delcidio Amaral
4%

Economista Renato Gomes
1%

João Henrique Catan
1%

Jeferson Bezerra
1%

Fábio Trad
1%

Daniel Lemes
<1%

Lucien Rezende
<1%
Eduardo Riedel 93%
Delcidio Amaral 4%
Economista Renato Gomes 1.5%
João Henrique Catan 1.0%

Eduardo Riedel
93%

Delcidio Amaral
4%

Economista Renato Gomes
1%

João Henrique Catan
1%

Jeferson Bezerra
1%

Fábio Trad
1%

Daniel Lemes
<1%

Lucien Rezende
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Riedel holds a commanding lead in the Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial race as the incumbent seeking re-election in October 2026, backed by consistent polling majorities that have translated into the market's 94.5% consensus. Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data data from early August, show him at 44% in first-round scenarios and 54% against main challenger Fábio Trad in runoffs, reflecting broad voter support tied to his record on agriculture, infrastructure, and state finances since taking office in 2023. Party switch to PP has aligned him with key national figures without disrupting local coalitions. Potential shifts could stem from late economic pressures in the agribusiness sector, unexpected opposition consolidation, or turnout surprises among undecided voters, though current indicators show limited momentum for alternatives.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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