Luciano Zucco (PL) leads trader consensus at 57.5% for the October 4, 2026 first-round vote in Rio Grande do Sul, driven by his record personal vote totals as federal deputy, PL party machinery, and PP alliance that consolidates right-leaning voters behind the former state legislator and military officer. Recent Real Time Big Data polling from early September shows Zucco edging Juliana Brizola (PDT) 36% to 35% in a tight first-round scenario, reversing earlier surveys where Brizola held a narrow lead through left coalition-building with PT, PSOL, and allied parties. Brizola sits at 31.5% amid efforts to unify progressive and center-left blocs, while incumbent term limits on Eduardo Leite (PSD) have left Gabriel Souza (MDB) with minimal support at 2.8%. The race remains sensitive to turnout patterns and any late shifts in undecided voters before the potential October 25 runoff.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLuciano Zucco 58%
Juliana Brizola 32%
Gabriel Souza 2.8%
Marcelo Maranata <1%
$102,849 Wol.
$102,849 Wol.
Oct 3, 2026
Luciano Zucco
58%
Juliana Brizola
32%
Gabriel Souza
3%
Marcelo Maranata
1%
Luis Carlos Heinze
<1%
Luciano Zucco 58%
Juliana Brizola 32%
Gabriel Souza 2.8%
Marcelo Maranata <1%
$102,849 Wol.
$102,849 Wol.
Oct 3, 2026
Luciano Zucco
$46,599 Wol.
58%
Juliana Brizola
$35,625 Wol.
32%
Gabriel Souza
$10,508 Wol.
3%
Marcelo Maranata
$7,151 Wol.
1%
Luis Carlos Heinze
$2,966 Wol.
<1%
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Luciano Zucco (PL) leads trader consensus at 57.5% for the October 4, 2026 first-round vote in Rio Grande do Sul, driven by his record personal vote totals as federal deputy, PL party machinery, and PP alliance that consolidates right-leaning voters behind the former state legislator and military officer. Recent Real Time Big Data polling from early September shows Zucco edging Juliana Brizola (PDT) 36% to 35% in a tight first-round scenario, reversing earlier surveys where Brizola held a narrow lead through left coalition-building with PT, PSOL, and allied parties. Brizola sits at 31.5% amid efforts to unify progressive and center-left blocs, while incumbent term limits on Eduardo Leite (PSD) have left Gabriel Souza (MDB) with minimal support at 2.8%. The race remains sensitive to turnout patterns and any late shifts in undecided voters before the potential October 25 runoff.
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Wolumen
$102,849Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Luciano Zucco (PL) leads trader consensus at 57.5% for the October 4, 2026 first-round vote in Rio Grande do Sul, driven by his record personal vote totals as federal deputy, PL party machinery, and PP alliance that consolidates right-leaning voters behind the former state legislator and military officer. Recent Real Time Big Data polling from early September shows Zucco edging Juliana Brizola (PDT) 36% to 35% in a tight first-round scenario, reversing earlier surveys where Brizola held a narrow lead through left coalition-building with PT, PSOL, and allied parties. Brizola sits at 31.5% amid efforts to unify progressive and center-left blocs, while incumbent term limits on Eduardo Leite (PSD) have left Gabriel Souza (MDB) with minimal support at 2.8%. The race remains sensitive to turnout patterns and any late shifts in undecided voters before the potential October 25 runoff.
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$102,849Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Luciano Zucco (PL) leads trader consensus at 57.5% for the October 4, 2026 first-round vote in Rio Grande do Sul, driven by his record personal vote totals as federal deputy, PL party machinery, and PP alliance that consolidates right-leaning voters behind the former state legislator and military officer. Recent Real Time Big Data polling from early September shows Zucco edging Juliana Brizola (PDT) 36% to 35% in a tight first-round scenario, reversing earlier surveys where Brizola held a narrow lead through left coalition-building with PT, PSOL, and allied parties. Brizola sits at 31.5% amid efforts to unify progressive and center-left blocs, while incumbent term limits on Eduardo Leite (PSD) have left Gabriel Souza (MDB) with minimal support at 2.8%. The race remains sensitive to turnout patterns and any late shifts in undecided voters before the potential October 25 runoff.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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