Disney’s live-action “Moana” opened to a soft $43 million domestically last weekend, well below pre-release tracking of $60 million-plus and the franchise benchmark set by the billion-dollar animated sequel “Moana 2.” That underwhelming debut, coupled with an A- CinemaScore and mixed word-of-mouth amid broader live-action remake fatigue, has shaped trader expectations for a roughly 50% second-weekend drop into the $19-20.5 million range. With the July 10 release still early in its run and no major competing family titles shifting the landscape immediately, the market reflects cautious optimism around modest legs rather than a steeper collapse or surprise rebound.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano"Moana (2026)" 2nd Weekend Box Office
"Moana (2026)" 2nd Weekend Box Office
17.5-19m 99.9%
<16m <1%
16-17.5m <1%
19-20.5m <1%
$35,356 Wol.
$35,356 Wol.
Jul 19, 2026
<16m
No
16-17.5m
No
17.5-19m
Yes
19-20.5m
No
20.5-22m
No
22m+
No
17.5-19m 99.9%
<16m <1%
16-17.5m <1%
19-20.5m <1%
$35,356 Wol.
$35,356 Wol.
Jul 19, 2026
<16m
$5,429 Wol.
No
16-17.5m
$8,349 Wol.
No
17.5-19m
$9,484 Wol.
Yes
19-20.5m
$10,549 Wol.
No
20.5-22m
$1,057 Wol.
No
22m+
$488 Wol.
No
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana" (2026) Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 17 - July 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Disney’s live-action “Moana” opened to a soft $43 million domestically last weekend, well below pre-release tracking of $60 million-plus and the franchise benchmark set by the billion-dollar animated sequel “Moana 2.” That underwhelming debut, coupled with an A- CinemaScore and mixed word-of-mouth amid broader live-action remake fatigue, has shaped trader expectations for a roughly 50% second-weekend drop into the $19-20.5 million range. With the July 10 release still early in its run and no major competing family titles shifting the landscape immediately, the market reflects cautious optimism around modest legs rather than a steeper collapse or surprise rebound.
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana" (2026) Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 17 - July 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 16, 2026, 10:12 PM ET
Wolumen
$35,356Data zakończenia
Jul 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 16, 2026, 10:12 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana" (2026) Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 17 - July 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Disney’s live-action “Moana” opened to a soft $43 million domestically last weekend, well below pre-release tracking of $60 million-plus and the franchise benchmark set by the billion-dollar animated sequel “Moana 2.” That underwhelming debut, coupled with an A- CinemaScore and mixed word-of-mouth amid broader live-action remake fatigue, has shaped trader expectations for a roughly 50% second-weekend drop into the $19-20.5 million range. With the July 10 release still early in its run and no major competing family titles shifting the landscape immediately, the market reflects cautious optimism around modest legs rather than a steeper collapse or surprise rebound.
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana" (2026) Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 17 - July 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Wolumen
$35,356Data zakończenia
Jul 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 16, 2026, 10:12 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Disney’s live-action “Moana” opened to a soft $43 million domestically last weekend, well below pre-release tracking of $60 million-plus and the franchise benchmark set by the billion-dollar animated sequel “Moana 2.” That underwhelming debut, coupled with an A- CinemaScore and mixed word-of-mouth amid broader live-action remake fatigue, has shaped trader expectations for a roughly 50% second-weekend drop into the $19-20.5 million range. With the July 10 release still early in its run and no major competing family titles shifting the landscape immediately, the market reflects cautious optimism around modest legs rather than a steeper collapse or surprise rebound.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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