Julianne Moore’s career-best turn in Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy The Debut has propelled her to clear frontrunner status at 64% implied probability following its strong Telluride premiere, where critics highlighted her gonzo, tragicomic performance as a lock for a sixth nomination. The Academy’s recent pattern of rewarding veteran actors with second or third wins aligns with trader consensus on her momentum. The broader field remains fluid at 50% or below for most contenders, including Inde Navarrette in Obsession and Renate Reinsve in Fjord, as fall festivals and guild precursors like SAG-AFTRA and the Critics Choice Awards have yet to reshape the race. Late reviews, box-office tracking, and campaign narratives will likely determine whether Moore’s lead holds into 2027 voting.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoOscars 2027: Best Actress Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner
Julianne Moore 64%
Inde Navarrette 18%
Renate Reinsve 9%
Sandra Hüller 7.8%
$130,077 Wol.
$130,077 Wol.
Mar 14, 2027
Julianne Moore
64%
Inde Navarrette
18%
Renate Reinsve
9%
Sandra Hüller
8%
Virginie Efira
1%
Rachel Brosnahan
1%
Ruth Madeley
<1%
Léa Seydoux
<1%
Scarlett Johansson
<1%
Michelle Williams
<1%
Sophie Okonedo
<1%
Julianne Moore 64%
Inde Navarrette 18%
Renate Reinsve 9%
Sandra Hüller 7.8%
$130,077 Wol.
$130,077 Wol.
Mar 14, 2027
Julianne Moore
$88,332 Wol.
64%
Inde Navarrette
$23,214 Wol.
18%
Renate Reinsve
$12,599 Wol.
9%
Sandra Hüller
$3,457 Wol.
8%
Virginie Efira
$173 Wol.
1%
Rachel Brosnahan
$207 Wol.
1%
Ruth Madeley
$683 Wol.
<1%
Léa Seydoux
$842 Wol.
<1%
Scarlett Johansson
$169 Wol.
<1%
Michelle Williams
$255 Wol.
<1%
Sophie Okonedo
$145 Wol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore’s career-best turn in Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy The Debut has propelled her to clear frontrunner status at 64% implied probability following its strong Telluride premiere, where critics highlighted her gonzo, tragicomic performance as a lock for a sixth nomination. The Academy’s recent pattern of rewarding veteran actors with second or third wins aligns with trader consensus on her momentum. The broader field remains fluid at 50% or below for most contenders, including Inde Navarrette in Obsession and Renate Reinsve in Fjord, as fall festivals and guild precursors like SAG-AFTRA and the Critics Choice Awards have yet to reshape the race. Late reviews, box-office tracking, and campaign narratives will likely determine whether Moore’s lead holds into 2027 voting.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
Wolumen
$130,077Data zakończenia
Mar 14, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore’s career-best turn in Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy The Debut has propelled her to clear frontrunner status at 64% implied probability following its strong Telluride premiere, where critics highlighted her gonzo, tragicomic performance as a lock for a sixth nomination. The Academy’s recent pattern of rewarding veteran actors with second or third wins aligns with trader consensus on her momentum. The broader field remains fluid at 50% or below for most contenders, including Inde Navarrette in Obsession and Renate Reinsve in Fjord, as fall festivals and guild precursors like SAG-AFTRA and the Critics Choice Awards have yet to reshape the race. Late reviews, box-office tracking, and campaign narratives will likely determine whether Moore’s lead holds into 2027 voting.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$130,077Data zakończenia
Mar 14, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Julianne Moore’s career-best turn in Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy The Debut has propelled her to clear frontrunner status at 64% implied probability following its strong Telluride premiere, where critics highlighted her gonzo, tragicomic performance as a lock for a sixth nomination. The Academy’s recent pattern of rewarding veteran actors with second or third wins aligns with trader consensus on her momentum. The broader field remains fluid at 50% or below for most contenders, including Inde Navarrette in Obsession and Renate Reinsve in Fjord, as fall festivals and guild precursors like SAG-AFTRA and the Critics Choice Awards have yet to reshape the race. Late reviews, box-office tracking, and campaign narratives will likely determine whether Moore’s lead holds into 2027 voting.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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