Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran’s supreme leadership in March 2026 after Assembly of Experts selection following his father Ali Khamenei’s assassination during U.S.-Israeli strikes in late February. As the sitting supreme leader, he directs policy through established clerical and IRGC networks despite limited public visibility and April reports of medical treatment in Qom. Ongoing ceasefire monitoring, reconstruction priorities, and external diplomatic pressure create structural incentives for continuity in Tehran. Health updates, internal elite dynamics, or renewed military escalation remain the primary variables that could influence any near-term departure scenario.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$1,823,276 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
June 30
2%
$1,823,276 Wol.
June 30
$413,045 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran’s supreme leadership in March 2026 after Assembly of Experts selection following his father Ali Khamenei’s assassination during U.S.-Israeli strikes in late February. As the sitting supreme leader, he directs policy through established clerical and IRGC networks despite limited public visibility and April reports of medical treatment in Qom. Ongoing ceasefire monitoring, reconstruction priorities, and external diplomatic pressure create structural incentives for continuity in Tehran. Health updates, internal elite dynamics, or renewed military escalation remain the primary variables that could influence any near-term departure scenario.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,823,276Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran’s supreme leadership in March 2026 after Assembly of Experts selection following his father Ali Khamenei’s assassination during U.S.-Israeli strikes in late February. As the sitting supreme leader, he directs policy through established clerical and IRGC networks despite limited public visibility and April reports of medical treatment in Qom. Ongoing ceasefire monitoring, reconstruction priorities, and external diplomatic pressure create structural incentives for continuity in Tehran. Health updates, internal elite dynamics, or renewed military escalation remain the primary variables that could influence any near-term departure scenario.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$1,823,276Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran’s supreme leadership in March 2026 after Assembly of Experts selection following his father Ali Khamenei’s assassination during U.S.-Israeli strikes in late February. As the sitting supreme leader, he directs policy through established clerical and IRGC networks despite limited public visibility and April reports of medical treatment in Qom. Ongoing ceasefire monitoring, reconstruction priorities, and external diplomatic pressure create structural incentives for continuity in Tehran. Health updates, internal elite dynamics, or renewed military escalation remain the primary variables that could influence any near-term departure scenario.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania