North Carolina’s 4th congressional district, encompassing Durham, Orange, and parts of Chatham and Wake counties, maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+23. Incumbent Representative Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary against challenger Nida Allam and now faces limited Republican opposition from Mahesh Ganorkar in the November general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s voter composition and Foushee’s prior wide margins. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural fundamentals. Only major late-cycle events, such as an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent or an unprecedented national partisan shift, could realistically alter the outcome before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNC-04 House Election Winner
NC-04 House Election Winner
$44,996 Wol.
$44,996 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
4%
$44,996 Wol.
$44,996 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,801 Wol.
95%
Republican Party
$30,195 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 4th congressional district, encompassing Durham, Orange, and parts of Chatham and Wake counties, maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+23. Incumbent Representative Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary against challenger Nida Allam and now faces limited Republican opposition from Mahesh Ganorkar in the November general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s voter composition and Foushee’s prior wide margins. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural fundamentals. Only major late-cycle events, such as an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent or an unprecedented national partisan shift, could realistically alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Wolumen
$44,996Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 4th congressional district, encompassing Durham, Orange, and parts of Chatham and Wake counties, maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+23. Incumbent Representative Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary against challenger Nida Allam and now faces limited Republican opposition from Mahesh Ganorkar in the November general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s voter composition and Foushee’s prior wide margins. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural fundamentals. Only major late-cycle events, such as an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent or an unprecedented national partisan shift, could realistically alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$44,996Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina’s 4th congressional district, encompassing Durham, Orange, and parts of Chatham and Wake counties, maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+23. Incumbent Representative Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary against challenger Nida Allam and now faces limited Republican opposition from Mahesh Ganorkar in the November general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s voter composition and Foushee’s prior wide margins. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural fundamentals. Only major late-cycle events, such as an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent or an unprecedented national partisan shift, could realistically alter the outcome before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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