Google's official September 2 announcement and immediate availability of Gemini 3.8 Flash drove the near-certain market consensus, following the rapid three-week cadence after 3.7 Flash and marking the third Flash iteration in six weeks. The model delivers targeted gains in long-horizon software engineering, agentic workflows, and multi-step reasoning benchmarks while retaining the same low-latency, cost-efficient profile and 1M-token context window. It rolled out directly to the Gemini app, Google AI Studio, Antigravity platform, and Gemini API at introductory pricing, with a companion 3.8 Flash Cyber variant gated through the Fairwind Program. Traders viewed the confirmed release timing and developer access as decisive, leaving little room for slippage given the public model card, benchmarks, and production endpoints already live.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNext Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released on...?
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released on...?
September 2 100.0%
On or prior to September 1 6.1%
September 4 1.4%
September 3 <1%
$56,857 Wol.
$56,857 Wol.
Sep 1, 2026
On or prior to September 1
No
September 2
Yes
September 3
No
September 4
No
September 5
No
September 6
No
September 7
No
September 8
No
September 9
No
September 10
No
September 11
No
September 12
No
September 13
No
September 14
No
September 15
No
No release by September 15
No
September 2 100.0%
On or prior to September 1 6.1%
September 4 1.4%
September 3 <1%
$56,857 Wol.
$56,857 Wol.
Sep 1, 2026
On or prior to September 1
$1,195 Wol.
No
September 2
$24,301 Wol.
Yes
September 3
$7,852 Wol.
No
September 4
$12,523 Wol.
No
September 5
$892 Wol.
No
September 6
$814 Wol.
No
September 7
$927 Wol.
No
September 8
$598 Wol.
No
September 9
$686 Wol.
No
September 10
$840 Wol.
No
September 11
$940 Wol.
No
September 12
$659 Wol.
No
September 13
$739 Wol.
No
September 14
$755 Wol.
No
September 15
$1,039 Wol.
No
No release by September 15
$2,099 Wol.
No
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's official September 2 announcement and immediate availability of Gemini 3.8 Flash drove the near-certain market consensus, following the rapid three-week cadence after 3.7 Flash and marking the third Flash iteration in six weeks. The model delivers targeted gains in long-horizon software engineering, agentic workflows, and multi-step reasoning benchmarks while retaining the same low-latency, cost-efficient profile and 1M-token context window. It rolled out directly to the Gemini app, Google AI Studio, Antigravity platform, and Gemini API at introductory pricing, with a companion 3.8 Flash Cyber variant gated through the Fairwind Program. Traders viewed the confirmed release timing and developer access as decisive, leaving little room for slippage given the public model card, benchmarks, and production endpoints already live.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
Wolumen
$56,857Data zakończenia
Sep 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 4:09 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's official September 2 announcement and immediate availability of Gemini 3.8 Flash drove the near-certain market consensus, following the rapid three-week cadence after 3.7 Flash and marking the third Flash iteration in six weeks. The model delivers targeted gains in long-horizon software engineering, agentic workflows, and multi-step reasoning benchmarks while retaining the same low-latency, cost-efficient profile and 1M-token context window. It rolled out directly to the Gemini app, Google AI Studio, Antigravity platform, and Gemini API at introductory pricing, with a companion 3.8 Flash Cyber variant gated through the Fairwind Program. Traders viewed the confirmed release timing and developer access as decisive, leaving little room for slippage given the public model card, benchmarks, and production endpoints already live.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$56,857Data zakończenia
Sep 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 4:09 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Google's official September 2 announcement and immediate availability of Gemini 3.8 Flash drove the near-certain market consensus, following the rapid three-week cadence after 3.7 Flash and marking the third Flash iteration in six weeks. The model delivers targeted gains in long-horizon software engineering, agentic workflows, and multi-step reasoning benchmarks while retaining the same low-latency, cost-efficient profile and 1M-token context window. It rolled out directly to the Gemini app, Google AI Studio, Antigravity platform, and Gemini API at introductory pricing, with a companion 3.8 Flash Cyber variant gated through the Fairwind Program. Traders viewed the confirmed release timing and developer access as decisive, leaving little room for slippage given the public model card, benchmarks, and production endpoints already live.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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