OpenAI's September 22, 2026 launch of GPT-6 Sol and Luna, expanding the GPT-6 family after Astra with 50% lower API pricing, stronger factuality, coding performance, and agentic capabilities at scale, anchors current trader sentiment. These models deliver Astra-level advances in alignment and computer use at reduced cost—GPT-6 Luna targets high-volume tasks with input pricing as low as $0.10 per million tokens—while Anthropic countered with Claude Opus 5.5 hours earlier. The rapid GPT-6 cadence, efficiency gains from caching improvements, and phased rollout to ChatGPT Plus, Pro, and API users highlight OpenAI's competitive edge in cost and capability. Traders watch for subsequent 6.1+ iterations, benchmark updates, and rival responses that could shift implied probabilities around release timing and leadership.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNext GPT Luna (6.1+) released by...?
November 30
72%
December 31
64%
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November 30
72%
December 31
64%
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Luna" and be designated as version 6.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 6.1 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Luna or GPT-6 Luna would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-7 Luna or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Luna" or which retain a version designation below 6.1, such as GPT-6 Luna (released September 22, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, GPT-6 Sol, or GPT-6 Astra, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-6 Luna Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 23, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x65070be91...A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Luna" and be designated as version 6.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 6.1 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Luna or GPT-6 Luna would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-7 Luna or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Luna" or which retain a version designation below 6.1, such as GPT-6 Luna (released September 22, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, GPT-6 Sol, or GPT-6 Astra, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-6 Luna Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Rozstrzygający
0x65070be91...OpenAI's September 22, 2026 launch of GPT-6 Sol and Luna, expanding the GPT-6 family after Astra with 50% lower API pricing, stronger factuality, coding performance, and agentic capabilities at scale, anchors current trader sentiment. These models deliver Astra-level advances in alignment and computer use at reduced cost—GPT-6 Luna targets high-volume tasks with input pricing as low as $0.10 per million tokens—while Anthropic countered with Claude Opus 5.5 hours earlier. The rapid GPT-6 cadence, efficiency gains from caching improvements, and phased rollout to ChatGPT Plus, Pro, and API users highlight OpenAI's competitive edge in cost and capability. Traders watch for subsequent 6.1+ iterations, benchmark updates, and rival responses that could shift implied probabilities around release timing and leadership.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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