Google's repeated delays of Gemini 3.5 Pro—teased for June at I/O 2026, then slipped amid internal benchmark shortfalls in coding and agentic tasks—drive the tight clustering of mid-October probabilities. Traders weigh ongoing partner testing, incorporation of Flash learnings, and the absence of a firm public timeline against Google's history of measured flagship rollouts and competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic. Recent September releases of 3.8 Flash variants and confirmation of Gemini 4 pre-training underscore a focus on iterative efficiency before the next Pro launch, with October dates capturing the most plausible window before year-end training cycles intensify.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNext Gemini Pro Model released on...?
Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?
October 16 48%
October 18 26%
October 20 26%
October 21 26%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 1, 2026
On or prior to October 1
12%
October 2
1%
October 3
5%
October 4
5%
October 5
1%
October 6
11%
October 7
16%
October 8
9%
October 9
1%
October 10
14%
October 11
13%
October 12
11%
October 13
25%
October 14
13%
October 15
14%
October 16
48%
October 17
13%
October 18
26%
October 19
25%
October 20
26%
October 21
26%
October 22
13%
October 23
8%
October 24
25%
October 25
12%
October 26
6%
October 27
1%
October 28
13%
October 29
13%
October 30
7%
October 31
8%
No release by October 31
9%
October 16 48%
October 18 26%
October 20 26%
October 21 26%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 1, 2026
On or prior to October 1
$58 Wol.
12%
October 2
$39 Wol.
1%
October 3
$50 Wol.
5%
October 4
$50 Wol.
5%
October 5
$39 Wol.
1%
October 6
$50 Wol.
11%
October 7
$50 Wol.
16%
October 8
$50 Wol.
9%
October 9
$39 Wol.
1%
October 10
$50 Wol.
14%
October 11
$50 Wol.
13%
October 12
$50 Wol.
11%
October 13
$50 Wol.
25%
October 14
$50 Wol.
13%
October 15
$50 Wol.
14%
October 16
$42 Wol.
48%
October 17
$50 Wol.
13%
October 18
$42 Wol.
26%
October 19
$42 Wol.
25%
October 20
$42 Wol.
26%
October 21
$53 Wol.
26%
October 22
$50 Wol.
13%
October 23
$50 Wol.
8%
October 24
$42 Wol.
25%
October 25
$50 Wol.
12%
October 26
$50 Wol.
6%
October 27
$42 Wol.
1%
October 28
$50 Wol.
13%
October 29
$50 Wol.
13%
October 30
$50 Wol.
7%
October 31
$50 Wol.
8%
No release by October 31
$55 Wol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays of Gemini 3.5 Pro—teased for June at I/O 2026, then slipped amid internal benchmark shortfalls in coding and agentic tasks—drive the tight clustering of mid-October probabilities. Traders weigh ongoing partner testing, incorporation of Flash learnings, and the absence of a firm public timeline against Google's history of measured flagship rollouts and competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic. Recent September releases of 3.8 Flash variants and confirmation of Gemini 4 pre-training underscore a focus on iterative efficiency before the next Pro launch, with October dates capturing the most plausible window before year-end training cycles intensify.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 22, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,537Data zakończenia
Oct 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2026, 4:14 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays of Gemini 3.5 Pro—teased for June at I/O 2026, then slipped amid internal benchmark shortfalls in coding and agentic tasks—drive the tight clustering of mid-October probabilities. Traders weigh ongoing partner testing, incorporation of Flash learnings, and the absence of a firm public timeline against Google's history of measured flagship rollouts and competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic. Recent September releases of 3.8 Flash variants and confirmation of Gemini 4 pre-training underscore a focus on iterative efficiency before the next Pro launch, with October dates capturing the most plausible window before year-end training cycles intensify.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$1,537Data zakończenia
Oct 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2026, 4:14 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Google's repeated delays of Gemini 3.5 Pro—teased for June at I/O 2026, then slipped amid internal benchmark shortfalls in coding and agentic tasks—drive the tight clustering of mid-October probabilities. Traders weigh ongoing partner testing, incorporation of Flash learnings, and the absence of a firm public timeline against Google's history of measured flagship rollouts and competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic. Recent September releases of 3.8 Flash variants and confirmation of Gemini 4 pre-training underscore a focus on iterative efficiency before the next Pro launch, with October dates capturing the most plausible window before year-end training cycles intensify.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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