Claire Valdez leads trader consensus in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 7th Congressional District at 69 percent implied probability, ahead of Antonio Reynoso at 28.5 percent. The race to succeed retiring Representative Nydia Velázquez has sharpened divisions between Democratic Socialists of America-backed candidates and broader progressive and labor coalitions. A late-May Emerson poll showed Valdez narrowly ahead of Reynoso among likely primary voters, with high undecided shares, while Valdez edges Reynoso in early fundraising. Reynoso benefits from Velázquez’s endorsement, organized labor support, and his record as Brooklyn borough president, yet market pricing reflects Valdez’s momentum from Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s backing and DSA organizational strength in Queens and Brooklyn turnout efforts. Other candidates trail far behind in both polling and pricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoClaire Valdez 70%
Antonio Reynoso 29%
Julie Won <1%
Kristen Gonzalez <1%
$131,192 Wol.
$131,192 Wol.
Claire Valdez
70%
Antonio Reynoso
29%
Julie Won
<1%
Kristen Gonzalez
<1%
Lincoln Restler
<1%
Julia Salazar
<1%
Jennifer Gútierrez
<1%
Sandy Nurse
<1%
Tiffany Cabán
<1%
Claire Valdez 70%
Antonio Reynoso 29%
Julie Won <1%
Kristen Gonzalez <1%
$131,192 Wol.
$131,192 Wol.
Claire Valdez
70%
Antonio Reynoso
29%
Julie Won
<1%
Kristen Gonzalez
<1%
Lincoln Restler
<1%
Julia Salazar
<1%
Jennifer Gútierrez
<1%
Sandy Nurse
<1%
Tiffany Cabán
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Claire Valdez leads trader consensus in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 7th Congressional District at 69 percent implied probability, ahead of Antonio Reynoso at 28.5 percent. The race to succeed retiring Representative Nydia Velázquez has sharpened divisions between Democratic Socialists of America-backed candidates and broader progressive and labor coalitions. A late-May Emerson poll showed Valdez narrowly ahead of Reynoso among likely primary voters, with high undecided shares, while Valdez edges Reynoso in early fundraising. Reynoso benefits from Velázquez’s endorsement, organized labor support, and his record as Brooklyn borough president, yet market pricing reflects Valdez’s momentum from Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s backing and DSA organizational strength in Queens and Brooklyn turnout efforts. Other candidates trail far behind in both polling and pricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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