In Pennsylvania's November 2026 midterm gubernatorial contest between incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro and Republican challenger Stacy Garrity, trader consensus on total votes cast remains tightly clustered across multiple turnout bands because the race lacks the mobilizing force of a presidential contest. Primary participation in May showed stronger Democratic engagement than Republican, yet overall enthusiasm appears moderate amid a non-presidential year. Key variables include early and mail-in voting trends, get-out-the-vote mobilization by both campaigns, economic sentiment in swing areas, and Election Day conditions. Historical midterm baselines and recent polling stability around Shapiro's double-digit lead reinforce the balanced probabilities, with any surge in partisan turnout or unexpected national developments capable of shifting volume into higher or lower ranges before November 3.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPennsylvania Governor Election: Turnout
Pennsylvania Governor Election: Turnout
6M-6.5M 45%
4.5M-5M 44%
5M-5.5M 44%
5.5M-6M 44%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
<4M
44%
4M-4.5M
44%
4.5M-5M
44%
5M-5.5M
44%
5.5M-6M
44%
6M-6.5M
45%
6.5M+
44%
6M-6.5M 45%
4.5M-5M 44%
5M-5.5M 44%
5.5M-6M 44%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
<4M
$0 Wol.
44%
4M-4.5M
$0 Wol.
44%
4.5M-5M
$0 Wol.
44%
5M-5.5M
$0 Wol.
44%
5.5M-6M
$0 Wol.
44%
6M-6.5M
$0 Wol.
45%
6.5M+
$0 Wol.
44%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In Pennsylvania's November 2026 midterm gubernatorial contest between incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro and Republican challenger Stacy Garrity, trader consensus on total votes cast remains tightly clustered across multiple turnout bands because the race lacks the mobilizing force of a presidential contest. Primary participation in May showed stronger Democratic engagement than Republican, yet overall enthusiasm appears moderate amid a non-presidential year. Key variables include early and mail-in voting trends, get-out-the-vote mobilization by both campaigns, economic sentiment in swing areas, and Election Day conditions. Historical midterm baselines and recent polling stability around Shapiro's double-digit lead reinforce the balanced probabilities, with any surge in partisan turnout or unexpected national developments capable of shifting volume into higher or lower ranges before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In Pennsylvania's November 2026 midterm gubernatorial contest between incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro and Republican challenger Stacy Garrity, trader consensus on total votes cast remains tightly clustered across multiple turnout bands because the race lacks the mobilizing force of a presidential contest. Primary participation in May showed stronger Democratic engagement than Republican, yet overall enthusiasm appears moderate amid a non-presidential year. Key variables include early and mail-in voting trends, get-out-the-vote mobilization by both campaigns, economic sentiment in swing areas, and Election Day conditions. Historical midterm baselines and recent polling stability around Shapiro's double-digit lead reinforce the balanced probabilities, with any surge in partisan turnout or unexpected national developments capable of shifting volume into higher or lower ranges before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In Pennsylvania's November 2026 midterm gubernatorial contest between incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro and Republican challenger Stacy Garrity, trader consensus on total votes cast remains tightly clustered across multiple turnout bands because the race lacks the mobilizing force of a presidential contest. Primary participation in May showed stronger Democratic engagement than Republican, yet overall enthusiasm appears moderate amid a non-presidential year. Key variables include early and mail-in voting trends, get-out-the-vote mobilization by both campaigns, economic sentiment in swing areas, and Election Day conditions. Historical midterm baselines and recent polling stability around Shapiro's double-digit lead reinforce the balanced probabilities, with any surge in partisan turnout or unexpected national developments capable of shifting volume into higher or lower ranges before November 3.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPowiązane
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