Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's 95.5% implied probability for a Democratic victory. Consistent polling averages show him leading Republican nominee Stacy Garrity by double digits, supported by his high job approval, robust fundraising, unopposed primary, and endorsements from labor and party leaders. Pennsylvania's electoral dynamics, including Shapiro's statewide appeal and the Republican primary outcome favoring Garrity, have reinforced trader consensus on limited volatility. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign developments such as major scandals, significant national economic changes, or unusually high Republican turnout in key areas ahead of the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPennsylvania Governor Election Winner
Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner
$29,324 Wol.
$29,324 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
96%
Republican
5%
$29,324 Wol.
$29,324 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
$7,295 Wol.
96%
Republican
$22,028 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's 95.5% implied probability for a Democratic victory. Consistent polling averages show him leading Republican nominee Stacy Garrity by double digits, supported by his high job approval, robust fundraising, unopposed primary, and endorsements from labor and party leaders. Pennsylvania's electoral dynamics, including Shapiro's statewide appeal and the Republican primary outcome favoring Garrity, have reinforced trader consensus on limited volatility. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign developments such as major scandals, significant national economic changes, or unusually high Republican turnout in key areas ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Wolumen
$29,324Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's 95.5% implied probability for a Democratic victory. Consistent polling averages show him leading Republican nominee Stacy Garrity by double digits, supported by his high job approval, robust fundraising, unopposed primary, and endorsements from labor and party leaders. Pennsylvania's electoral dynamics, including Shapiro's statewide appeal and the Republican primary outcome favoring Garrity, have reinforced trader consensus on limited volatility. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign developments such as major scandals, significant national economic changes, or unusually high Republican turnout in key areas ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Wolumen
$29,324Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's 95.5% implied probability for a Democratic victory. Consistent polling averages show him leading Republican nominee Stacy Garrity by double digits, supported by his high job approval, robust fundraising, unopposed primary, and endorsements from labor and party leaders. Pennsylvania's electoral dynamics, including Shapiro's statewide appeal and the Republican primary outcome favoring Garrity, have reinforced trader consensus on limited volatility. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign developments such as major scandals, significant national economic changes, or unusually high Republican turnout in key areas ahead of the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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